Sunderland — opposition report

Premier League 2026/27 · 8 matches (2026-08-22 to 2026-10-25) · W1 D2 L5 · goals 6–14 · npxG 9.6–10.7 · WhoScored event data, every sequence rebuilt from the raw feed

Early season: built from 8 league matches. League ranks and splits move a lot at this stage — read them as provisional, and lean on the clips.

The short version

How to beat themgame plan

Each line is generated from a finding that cleared its evidence bar; nothing here is a generic coaching point. The grey line says what it rests on; the button opens the sequences.

Beating their press

  1. In your own build-up area, play on one or two touches: don't try to dribble past their press, and keep first touches clean.

    31% of their high regains come straight after the opponent tries to dribble past someone or takes a bad touch (league median 29%); only 15% come from forward passes.

  2. Copy the sides that escaped it: Bournemouth got out 67% (long on 29%), Leeds got out 67% (long on 47%).

    Average escape rate against them is 46%.

Transitions

  1. When you win it, go down their right side immediately.

    50% of the xG they concede after losing the ball comes down their right side (43 attacks, 8 shots), against 38% of their own attacking xG through that channel.

Set pieces

  1. Avoid conceding corners; mark Nordi Mukiele first.

    26% of their corners end in a shot; first contacts: Nordi Mukiele (3), Nilson Angulo (1), Dan Ballard (1).

Shape and structurein possession, by phase

Where each player takes the ball in each phase of their possession, and who passes to whom. Event data has no off-ball positions, so this is the shape of their touches — the standard event-data proxy. A phase is defined by where the ball is, so the dots sit inside that phase's third (shaded): read the order and the width, not the depth of each line. Sunderland attack left to right.

Kevin Danso → Robin Roefs: 28Robin Roefs → Granit Xhaka: 23Robin Roefs → Kevin Danso: 23Dan Ballard → Robin Roefs: 22Robin Roefs → Dan Ballard: 16Reinildo Mandava → Robin Roefs: 14Robin Roefs (GK) -- 272 touchesR. RoefsReinildo Mandava (FB) -- 140 touchesR. MandavaGranit Xhaka (CM) -- 112 touchesG. XhakaKevin Danso (CB) -- 107 touchesK. DansoNordi Mukiele (CB) -- 102 touchesN. MukieleDan Ballard (CB) -- 97 touchesD. BallardNoah Sadiki (CM) -- 69 touchesN. SadikiThomas Meunier (W) -- 68 touchesT. MeunierTrai Hume (W) -- 63 touchesT. HumeEnzo Le Fée (AM) -- 52 touchesE. Fée

attacking → · shaded = the build-up zone

Most involved
  • Robin Roefs47% of build-up phases
  • Reinildo Mandava21% of build-up phases
  • Granit Xhaka18% of build-up phases
  • Kevin Danso18% of build-up phases
Main connections
  • Kevin Danso → Robin Roefs28
  • Robin Roefs → Granit Xhaka23
  • Robin Roefs → Kevin Danso23
  • Dan Ballard → Robin Roefs22
  • Robin Roefs → Dan Ballard16
  • Reinildo Mandava → Robin Roefs14

487 build-up phases. Dot = the median spot of a player's touches in this phase; size = share of touches; lines = consecutive touches between two players.

Their pressout of possession

36defensive actions per match in the opponent's final 40%
46%of opponent build-ups got out into the next third
3.2high regains per match
12%of those regains led to a shot

Who presses

  • Dan Ballard31
  • Brian Brobbey29
  • Nilson Angulo26
  • Nordi Mukiele25
  • Trai Hume22
  • Wilson Isidor20

Tackles, interceptions, recoveries, blocks, challenges and fouls in the opponent's final 40%.

Every ball won in the opponent's third, by source

195 in the window. The press on a build-up = the first two rows: 22 (2.8 a match).

sourcetimesshareper matchshot
press: settled build-up taken off them2211%2.818%
press: their restart forced into an error before they settled00%0.0–
counter-press: won straight back after losing it147%1.87%
second ball: the opponent touched it but never controlled it15982%19.921%
↳ rebound after their own shot (saved or blocked)147%1.80%
↳ their cross / ball into the box, cleared5629%7.034%
↳ their long ball, only headed or touched away3819%4.818%
↳ after their own throw-in / set piece63%0.80%
↳ loose ball in their combination play (pass blocked or tackled)4523%5.618%

What triggers a regain

opponent wasshareleaguerank
dribbling or a loose touch31%29%9 / 20
passing to a full-back23%13%3 / 20
passing forward15%25%18 / 20
going long12%7%3 / 20
passing sideways8%6%7 / 20
passing to the keeper8%0%2 / 20
passing back0%3%13 / 20
a loose ball0%0%1 / 20
taking a throw-in0%3%13 / 20

Who got out, and how

0%25%50%75%100%0%25%50%75%share of build-ups that went longgot out of the pressBournemouth: got out 67%, went long 29% (21 build-ups)BournemouthLeeds: got out 67%, went long 47% (15 build-ups)LeedsArsenal: got out 50%, went long 19% (16 build-ups)ArsenalBrentford: got out 47%, went long 32% (19 build-ups)Ipswich: got out 44%, went long 39% (18 build-ups)Fulham: got out 43%, went long 21% (28 build-ups)Man City: got out 20%, went long 40% (10 build-ups)Man CityBrighton: got out 8%, went long 33% (12 build-ups)Brighton

The opponents who went long most (40% of build-ups) got out 35% of the time; those who mostly played short (25% long) got out 52%. That is a lean, not proven at 20 matches (p=0.2284).

Best escapes: Bournemouth 67%; Leeds 67%; Arsenal 50%. One dot per match; hover for the opponent.

Transitions

When they win it

9.9fast attacks per match (counters, high transitions, high ball-wins)
13%end in a shot

Most often started by Nordi Mukiele (10), Trai Hume (8), Granit Xhaka (8), Nilson Angulo (7).

Counter-press: losing it, by where

lost inlosseswon back within 5sled to a shot
own third4337%14%
midfield18037%6%
final third28626%1%

When they lose it — where the damage comes

28%52 attacks · 7 shots · 0.7 xG22%21 attacks · 10 shots · 0.6 xG50%43 attacks · 8 shots · 1.3 xG

14.5 opponent attacks per match after winning the ball in open play that broke forward fast or reached the final third. Shading and % = share of the xG they produced, by the channel they used. Sunderland's goal is on the left. Central attacks carry more xG for every team, so compare with Sunderland's own attacking xG in the same kind of channel (centre, or the average flank): right 50% conceded vs 38% own, left 28% conceded vs 38% own, centre 22% conceded vs 25% own.

Right
Left
Centre

Transition types

Every real turnover, named by the situation it came from. "Fast" = the side with the ball reached the final third within 10 seconds. Only real turnovers appear here: for everything the press wins high, including restarts it forced into an error, see "Every ball won in the opponent’s third" in the press section.

When they win the ball

typetimessharefastshotxG
Won high from a settled build-up (press)173%lg 5%29%18%lg 9%0.3
Won after their long possession (10+ passes)519%lg 9%22%10%lg 3%0.9
Won straight back after losing it (counter-press)7513%lg 13%35%5%lg 7%0.3
Won by stopping their counter214%lg 4%5%0%lg 0%0.0
Won in midfield15828%lg 25%18%3%lg 6%0.3
Won deep in own third21137%lg 39%11%2%lg 3%0.7
Won from their set piece326%lg 5%3%0%lg 3%0.0

When they lose the ball

typetimesshareopponent fastshot againstxG
Lost in own build-up under pressure356%lg 4%23%6%lg 13%0.2
Lost after own long possession (10+ passes)387%lg 9%13%0%lg 4%0.0
Lost straight after winning it7513%lg 12%39%13%lg 6%1.2
Lost during own counter193%lg 4%11%0%lg 0%0.0
Lost in midfield14025%lg 25%19%5%lg 7%0.6
Lost in the final third (attack broke down)23742%lg 39%12%3%lg 3%0.8
Lost from own set piece173%lg 5%6%0%lg 3%0.0

Possessions and turnovers in detailsub-categories

Every controlled possession is typed by how it was played, and every real turnover (a possession that was established and then lost) by what the losing side was doing, how it lost the ball and what the winner did next. "Settled" = sustained or worked possessions; "unsettled" = short, second-ball, counter and direct possessions.

18%of their turnovers the opponent turns into a fast attack · league 22%
53%Lost balls the opponent can’t keep · league 50%
4%of balls lost from settled possession lead to a shot against · league 4%
6%of balls lost from unsettled possession lead to a shot against · league 6%
17%of the balls they win become a fast attack · league 21%
4%of the balls they win produce a shot · league 5%

How they play their possessions (721 controlled open-play possessions)

typetimesshareended in a shotavg passes
sustained circulation (10+ passes)598%lg 11%14%lg 16%13.5
worked possession (4-9 passes)17224%lg 26%9%lg 10%5.8
direct attack11716%lg 13%3%lg 2%1.6
short possession (0-3 passes)15822%lg 21%2%1.5

When they lose the ball (561 turnovers) — their rest defence

the side losing it was in…timesfast attacksecuredlost straight backcan’t keep itshotxGhow it was lost
sustained circulation (10+ passes)3915%18%10%49%0%0.0pass cut out 25, long ball lost 7
worked possession (4-9 passes)12717%7%11%55%5%0.3pass cut out 79, long ball lost 23
direct attack8826%11%8%45%7%0.7long ball lost 47, pass cut out 32
short possession (0-3 passes)13024%9%9%49%8%0.6pass cut out 67, long ball lost 28
second-ball possession13411%13%10%57%2%0.5pass cut out 75, long ball lost 28
counter / fast transition2615%15%12%50%8%0.7pass cut out 18, bad touch 5
set piece176%6%0%76%0%0.0pass cut out 10, long ball lost 5

How they lose it

mechanismtimesshareled to a shot against
pass cut out30655%lg 51%5%
long ball lost14025%lg 24%3%
bad touch6512%lg 14%3%
failed dribble244%lg 6%0%
tackled / dispossessed214%lg 6%10%

When they win the ball (565 turnovers) — what they do with it

the opponent was in…timesfast attacksecuredlost straight backcan’t keep itshotxGhow it was lost
sustained circulation (10+ passes)5420%7%7%54%9%0.9pass cut out 33, bad touch 8
worked possession (4-9 passes)12416%10%12%52%5%0.7pass cut out 77, long ball lost 27
direct attack7814%9%14%53%1%0.0long ball lost 37, pass cut out 28
short possession (0-3 passes)13124%5%7%58%3%0.3pass cut out 65, long ball lost 28
second-ball possession11818%11%13%50%5%0.5pass cut out 59, long ball lost 25
counter / fast transition284%18%7%57%0%0.0pass cut out 16, bad touch 6
set piece323%3%12%69%0%0.0pass cut out 20, long ball lost 6

Fast attack = their final third or box reached within 10s. Secured = kept 10s+ or 4+ passes. Lost straight back = controlled, then lost within 5s. Can’t keep it = won the ball but never got it under control (cleared it, headed it away, blocked it or lost it at once).

Phase by phase: the typessub-categories

Each phase split into the situations it is made of, every row with its league median and clips. Shots are their own category: a possession that ends in a shot has finished, it has not lost the ball.

Build-up: how it starts and how it gets out (166 build-ups)

typetimessharegot outreached the boxlost in build-upshot
from the keeper / goal kick, played out short2213%lg 17%68%14%27%0%
from the keeper / goal kick, went long (bypass)2113%lg 13%19%5%57%0%
from the keeper / goal kick, stuck / recycled127%0%25%33%0%
from the back line, played out short117%lg 8%64%27%27%9%
from the back line, stuck / recycled95%0%0%56%0%
from a throw-in, played out short85%lg 4%62%0%25%0%
from a throw-in, went long (bypass)95%lg 3%56%22%33%11%
straight after winning it, played out short2917%lg 16%59%7%24%0%
straight after winning it, went long (bypass)2314%lg 11%35%13%48%9%
straight after winning it, stuck / recycled159%0%7%47%0%

Their press: what happens to every opponent build-up (156)

outcometimesshareopponent shot
won it high1711%lg 10%0%
forced long, then won it back4428%lg 26%0%
forced long, they kept it74%lg 5%43%
they played through short4730%lg 30%13%
kept them stuck (recycled back)4126%lg 24%0%

Won high = the ball won in the opponent's own third. Forced long = the opponent left its third with a long ball (then either lost it in that possession, or kept it).

Chance creation: what created their shots

created byshotsshare of open playxGxG per shotgoals
cross815%lg 12%0.70.09lg 0.110
cutback35%lg 9%0.20.08lg 0.120
through ball35%lg 3%0.90.32lg 0.171
short pass / combination3258%lg 52%3.10.10lg 0.082
individual (dribble / self-made)59%lg 9%0.50.10lg 0.080
rebound / second ball47%lg 9%0.20.04lg 0.130
corner (set piece)14–1.20.090
free kick (indirect) (set piece)13–1.90.141
direct free kick (set piece)5–0.10.031
throw-in (set piece)7–0.80.110
penalty (set piece)2–1.60.791

Chances they concede: what created the opponent's shots

created byshotssharexGxG per shotgoals
cross1013%lg 11%1.10.110
cutback79%lg 9%1.00.140
through ball68%lg 3%1.40.231
short pass / combination3849%lg 54%3.40.096
individual (dribble / self-made)912%lg 10%0.60.072
rebound / second ball79%lg 10%0.60.081
corner (set piece)21–1.60.071
free kick (indirect) (set piece)5–0.20.040
direct free kick (set piece)2–0.10.031
throw-in (set piece)7–0.80.121
penalty (set piece)1–0.80.791

How their shots end

endingshotsshare
goal55%lg 9%
keeper held it1011%lg 9%
keeper parried it910%lg 12%
blocked3638%lg 32%
off target3234%lg 39%
hit the woodwork22%

Penalties excluded. A "save" by an outfield player is a block.

Keeper transitions

After their keeper held a shot (4), median release 10s; league share turned into a fast attack 14%:

their keeper held it, then…timesshare
keeper released fast -> fast attack00%
keeper released quickly, no fast attack250%
keeper slowed the game250%

After their own shot was held by the opponent keeper (10); league share broken against fast 14%:

the opponent keeper held it, then…timesshare
keeper released fast -> fast attack220%
keeper released quickly, no fast attack220%
keeper slowed the game660%

Fast = the keeper's side reached its final third within 15s of the save. Quick = first pass within 6s.

When it breaks downevery phase

The other half of each phase above. Their own phases break down when they lose the ball (real turnovers only); their press and block break down when the opponent gets through. Each card: how often, how, where, who is involved, and what it costs them.

Build-up breaks down

145 balls lost in 487 build-up phases (30%)

giveaways per 10 build-up phases: 2.7/10 · league 2.7/10

How
  • long ball lost88
  • pass cut out42
  • bad touch6
  • error3
Where
  • left wing40
  • right half-space28
  • centre27
  • left half-space26
Who
  • Robin Roefs40
  • Reinildo Mandava15
  • Enzo Le Fée12
  • Nordi Mukiele12

What it costs: 29% turned into a fast attack · 50% the opponent can’t keep · 7% led to a shot · 1.1 xG

Progression breaks down

209 balls lost in 670 middle-third phases (31%)

giveaways per 10 middle-third phases: 2.8/10 · league 2.7/10

How
  • pass cut out114
  • long ball lost36
  • bad touch34
  • tackled / dispossessed16
Where
  • left wing65
  • centre45
  • right half-space41
  • left half-space37
Who
  • Enzo Le Fée30
  • Granit Xhaka30
  • Noah Sadiki23
  • Reinildo Mandava17

What it costs: 19% turned into a fast attack · 45% the opponent can’t keep · 6% led to a shot · 0.9 xG

Final third breaks down

179 balls lost in 416 final-third phases (43%)

deliveries into the box that fail to arrive: 65% · league 58%

How
  • pass cut out137
  • bad touch20
  • failed dribble11
  • long ball lost8
Where
  • centre81
  • right half-space30
  • left half-space28
  • right wing24
Who
  • Trai Hume23
  • Nilson Angulo19
  • Granit Xhaka19
  • Enzo Le Fée18

What it costs: 7% turned into a fast attack · 64% the opponent can’t keep · 2% led to a shot · 0.1 xG

77 deliveries into the box did not arrive

Counter-attacks fail

26 of 37 counter-attacks lost (70%)

attacking transitions that produce a shot: 13% · league 18%

How
  • pass cut out18
  • bad touch5
  • long ball lost2
  • failed dribble1
Where
  • centre11
  • left wing5
  • right half-space4
  • right wing4
Who
  • Enzo Le Fée5
  • Brian Brobbey5
  • Granit Xhaka4
  • Nilson Angulo3

What it costs: 15% turned into a fast attack · 50% the opponent can’t keep · 8% led to a shot · 0.7 xG

37 counters: 9 ended in a shot, 26 were lost, 2 slowed down or went out

Their press is beaten

64 of 139 opponent build-ups got out (46%)

opponent build-ups that get out cleanly: 46% · league 45%

How
  • short pass36
  • long ball17
  • carry7
Where
  • left wing14
  • right wing13
  • right half-space13
  • left half-space11
Who
  • centre-back16
  • full-back12
  • goalkeeper10
  • central midfielder7

What it costs: 33% reached the final third · 14% led to a shot · 1.2 xG

Sides are their own: "down the left" = down their left.

Their block is broken

128 box entries in 447 opponent final-third phases (29%)

opponent final-third phases that create: 51% · league 50%

How
  • carry79
  • short pass28
  • cross10
  • long ball5
Where
  • centre42
  • left half-space36
  • right half-space30
  • left wing14
Who
  • winger38
  • attacking midfielder26
  • full-back18
  • striker15

What it costs: 49% led to a shot · 8.0 xG

Sides are their own.

Set pieces backfire

17 set pieces lost in open play

How
  • pass cut out10
  • long ball lost5
  • failed dribble1
  • tackled / dispossessed1
Where
  • right wing5
  • centre5
  • right half-space3
  • left wing2
Who
  • Thomas Meunier3
  • Granit Xhaka2
  • Nordi Mukiele2
  • Robin Roefs1

What it costs: 6% turned into a fast attack · 76% the opponent can’t keep · 0% led to a shot · 0.0 xG

Their corners and free kicks that were lost in open play, and what the opponent did next.

Set piecesattacking corners

34corners (4.2 per match)
26%end in a shot
0.9xG from corners

Delivery

  • near post44%shot 33% · 0.5 xG
  • central29%shot 10% · 0.0 xG
  • short15%shot 40% · 0.3 xG
  • far post12%shot 25% · 0.1 xG

Who

Takers: Granit Xhaka (19), Enzo Le Fée (12), Trai Hume (2)

First contact in the box: Nordi Mukiele (3), Nilson Angulo (1), Dan Ballard (1), Brian Brobbey (1), Trai Hume (1)

Key players

What each player does in the phases, counted over the window. Only lines that clear a minimum count are shown.

Granit XhakaCM
  • takes it into the final third 25 times (44% become a chance)
  • 52 giveaways, 5 led to an opponent shot
Noah SadikiCM
  • takes it into the final third 19 times (58% become a chance)
  • gets it into the box 10 times (50% end in a shot)
Brian BrobbeyST
  • gets it into the box 14 times (36% end in a shot)
Trai HumeW
  • gets it into the box 10 times (30% end in a shot)
Nilson AnguloW
  • gets it into the box 11 times (36% end in a shot)
Kevin DansoCB
  • gets it into the box 11 times (18% end in a shot)
Robin RoefsGK
  • plays 30 build-up exits (40% carry on cleanly)

Where a player changes the outcome (p<0.05)

Against the leaguesupporting evidence

The comparison behind the report: each behaviour as a rate per opportunity, ranked among the 20 Premier League clubs' full seasons, with how many of the 8 matches sat on the same side of the league median. "Style" is never a verdict.

behaviourSunderlandleague medianrankmatches
weaknesschance-creation phases that produced a shot27%35%20 / 205/8
weaknessbuild-ups whose possession ended in a shot2%6%20 / 208/8
styleturnovers that came from being tackled / dispossessed4%6%20 / 206/8
weaknessxG conceded from set pieces and throw-ins0.47 xG0.31 xG1 / 206/8
weaknesscounter-attacks per 10 turnovers won0.5/100.8/1019 / 206/8
stylefinal-third entries by carrying it in13%21%20 / 206/8
stylefinal-third entries played by a forward / AM / winger14%26%20 / 207/8
styleturnovers won that were secured and kept (10s+ or 4+ passes)9%12%19 / 205/8
stylebuild-up exits by carrying it out5%11%19 / 207/8
styleopen-play shots conceded from through balls8%3%2 / 205/8
weaknessballs lost straight after winning it that led to an opponent shot13%6%2 / 206/8
strengthballs won after a long opponent possession that produced a shot10%3%2 / 205/8
weaknessbuild-ups from the keeper that got out35%48%20 / 207/8
Their most dangerous routes
phaseroutetimesshottheir average
How they change against different opponents
splitbehaviourabp
against the more aggressive pressers vs the deeper / passive sideschance-creation phases that produced a shot37%18%0.0014
against the more aggressive pressers vs the deeper / passive sidesfinal-third entries with a through ball7%0%0.0243
against the more aggressive pressers vs the deeper / passive sidesfinal-third entries by carrying it in19%7%0.0401
when trailing vs when levelmiddle-third phases that progressed into the final third78%62%0.0306
second half vs first halfmiddle-third phases that progressed into the final third76%60%0.0253
The 8 matches
dateopponentresultnpxGopponent presswhat happened
2026-08-22at IpswichL 1-20.8–1.1mid-intensity pressLost 1-2 and the chances agreed (0.78 v 1.10 xG). Ipswich pressed at roughly league-average intensity (strict PPDA 16.5, league median 14.4). Biggest departure from their norm: opponent final-third phases that created 61%, far above their usual 50%.
2026-08-30vs FulhamW 1-01.3–0.9pressed aggressivelyWon 1-0, chances 1.27 v 0.89 xG. Fulham pressed harder than a typical Premier League side does (strict PPDA 10.9, league median 14.4). Biggest departure from their norm: box entries with a cross 21%, far above their usual 9%.
2026-09-05at BrentfordD 1-11.3–1.1pressed aggressivelyDrew 1-1 (1.29 v 1.13 xG). Brentford pressed harder than a typical Premier League side does (strict PPDA 10.8, league median 14.4). Biggest departure from their norm: giveaways regained within 5s (counter-press) 41%, far above their usual 31%.
2026-09-12vs ArsenalL 0-21.0–0.9mid-intensity pressLost 0-2 and the chances agreed (1.02 v 0.93 xG). Arsenal pressed at roughly league-average intensity (strict PPDA 16.8, league median 14.4). Biggest departure from their norm: giveaways that led to an opponent shot within 15s 2%, far below their usual 4%.
2026-09-20at Man CityL 3-53.2–2.4pressed aggressivelyLost 3-5 despite the better chances (3.17 v 2.41 xG) -- a finishing / goalkeeping defeat more than a tactical one. Man City pressed harder than a typical Premier League side does (strict PPDA 11.7, league median 14.4) and went long on 80% of their own build-ups. Biggest departure from their norm: final-third entries by carrying it in 40%, far above their usual 14%.
2026-10-10vs BrightonL 0-21.0–0.9mid-intensity pressLost 0-2 and the chances agreed (1.00 v 0.91 xG). Brighton pressed at roughly league-average intensity (strict PPDA 16.9, league median 14.4). Biggest departure from their norm: opponent build-ups that got out cleanly 8%, far below their usual 43%.
2026-10-18at BournemouthL 0-20.1–2.6pressed aggressivelyLost 0-2 and the chances agreed (0.12 v 2.62 xG). Bournemouth pressed harder than a typical Premier League side does (strict PPDA 11.8, league median 14.4). Biggest departure from their norm: PPDA, strict (opponent passes in their own 60% per committed ball-winning action) 29.4, far above their usual 15.7.
2026-10-25vs LeedsD 0-01.0–0.7pressed aggressivelyDrew 0-0 (0.98 v 0.70 xG). Leeds pressed harder than a typical Premier League side does (strict PPDA 11.2, league median 14.4) and went long on 50% of their own build-ups. Biggest departure from their norm: opponent build-ups that got out cleanly 67%, far above their usual 43%.

Method and limits

◀ Tactical Analyst
Vision AI · building report