Ipswich — opposition report

Premier League 2026/27 · 8 matches (2026-08-22 to 2026-10-23) · W3 D1 L4 · goals 12–16 · npxG 8.1–12.9 · WhoScored event data, every sequence rebuilt from the raw feed

Early season: built from 8 league matches. League ranks and splits move a lot at this stage — read them as provisional, and lean on the clips.

The short version

How to beat themgame plan

Each line is generated from a finding that cleared its evidence bar; nothing here is a generic coaching point. The grey line says what it rests on; the button opens the sequences.

Where to press

  1. Let the ball go to Christian Walton and press him when he receives.

    Build-up exits made by Christian Walton: the build-up carried on cleanly 30% of the time, vs 63% through anyone else (23 times).

  2. Press their build-up in the left of their own third.

    Giveaways there lead to a shot 19% of the time (21 giveaways).

Shape and structurein possession, by phase

Where each player takes the ball in each phase of their possession, and who passes to whom. Event data has no off-ball positions, so this is the shape of their touches — the standard event-data proxy. A phase is defined by where the ball is, so the dots sit inside that phase's third (shaded): read the order and the width, not the depth of each line. Ipswich attack left to right.

Issa Diop → Christian Walton: 31Christian Walton → Issa Diop: 28Issa Diop → Abdoul Ouattara: 24Kjell Scherpen → Issa Diop: 23Jacob Greaves → Kjell Scherpen: 22Kjell Scherpen → Jacob Greaves: 17Christian Walton / Kjell Scherpen (GK) -- 298 touchesC. Walton / K. ScherpenIssa Diop (CB) -- 210 touchesI. DiopDara O'Shea (FB) -- 123 touchesD. O'SheaJacob Greaves (CB) -- 115 touchesJ. GreavesExequiel Palacios / Florentino (CM) -- 111 touchesE. Palacios / FlorentinoLeif Davis (FB) -- 94 touchesL. DavisAbdoul Ouattara (CM) -- 91 touchesA. OuattaraSamuel Amissah (CM) -- 55 touchesS. AmissahAbdul Fatawu (W) -- 28 touchesA. FatawuJulio Enciso (AM) -- 26 touchesJ. Enciso

attacking → · shaded = the build-up zone

Most involved
  • Issa Diop33% of build-up phases
  • Christian Walton27% of build-up phases
  • Kjell Scherpen25% of build-up phases
  • Dara O'Shea22% of build-up phases
Main connections
  • Issa Diop → Christian Walton31
  • Christian Walton → Issa Diop28
  • Issa Diop → Abdoul Ouattara24
  • Kjell Scherpen → Issa Diop23
  • Jacob Greaves → Kjell Scherpen22
  • Kjell Scherpen → Jacob Greaves17

455 build-up phases. Dot = the median spot of a player's touches in this phase; size = share of touches; lines = consecutive touches between two players.

Their pressout of possession

32defensive actions per match in the opponent's final 40%
42%of opponent build-ups got out into the next third
4.8high regains per match
32%of those regains led to a shot

Who presses

  • Emersonn41
  • Julio Enciso28
  • Dara O'Shea22
  • Daizen Maeda22
  • Exequiel Palacios21
  • Samuel Amissah16

Tackles, interceptions, recoveries, blocks, challenges and fouls in the opponent's final 40%.

Every ball won in the opponent's third, by source

148 in the window. The press on a build-up = the first two rows: 35 (4.4 a match).

sourcetimesshareper matchshot
press: settled build-up taken off them3322%4.19%
press: their restart forced into an error before they settled21%0.20%
counter-press: won straight back after losing it2014%2.515%
second ball: the opponent touched it but never controlled it9363%11.626%
↳ rebound after their own shot (saved or blocked)85%1.012%
↳ their cross / ball into the box, cleared3826%4.824%
↳ their long ball, only headed or touched away107%1.230%
↳ after their own throw-in / set piece53%0.620%
↳ loose ball in their combination play (pass blocked or tackled)3222%4.031%

What triggers a regain

opponent wasshareleaguerank
passing forward39%25%3 / 20
dribbling or a loose touch24%31%17 / 20
passing to the keeper13%0%1 / 20
passing sideways8%6%6 / 20
going long8%7%9 / 20
passing to a full-back5%14%17 / 20
passing back3%3%11 / 20
a loose ball0%0%1 / 20
taking a throw-in0%3%13 / 20

Who got out, and how

0%25%50%75%100%0%25%50%75%share of build-ups that went longgot out of the pressMan Utd: got out 48%, went long 5% (21 build-ups)Liverpool: got out 48%, went long 19% (21 build-ups)Crystal Palace: got out 47%, went long 18% (17 build-ups)Man City: got out 45%, went long 25% (20 build-ups)Sunderland: got out 41%, went long 48% (27 build-ups)Fulham: got out 40%, went long 44% (25 build-ups)Everton: got out 36%, went long 44% (25 build-ups)Nottingham Forest: got out 35%, went long 57% (23 build-ups)

The opponents who went long most (48% of build-ups) got out 38% of the time; those who mostly played short (17% long) got out 47%. That is a real difference (p=0.0).

Best escapes: Man Utd 48%; Liverpool 48%; Crystal Palace 47%. One dot per match; hover for the opponent.

Transitions

When they win it

15.1fast attacks per match (counters, high transitions, high ball-wins)
19%end in a shot

Most often started by Exequiel Palacios (17), Julio Enciso (15), Dara O'Shea (13), Issa Diop (11).

Counter-press: losing it, by where

lost inlosseswon back within 5sled to a shot
own third4719%15%
midfield18724%6%
final third27825%1%

When they lose it — where the damage comes

44%54 attacks · 10 shots · 1.7 xG13%21 attacks · 9 shots · 0.5 xG42%69 attacks · 16 shots · 1.6 xG

18.0 opponent attacks per match after winning the ball in open play that broke forward fast or reached the final third. Shading and % = share of the xG they produced, by the channel they used. Ipswich's goal is on the left. Central attacks carry more xG for every team, so compare with Ipswich's own attacking xG in the same kind of channel (centre, or the average flank): left 44% conceded vs 36% own, right 42% conceded vs 36% own, centre 13% conceded vs 27% own.

Left
Right
Centre

Transition types

Every real turnover, named by the situation it came from. "Fast" = the side with the ball reached the final third within 10 seconds. Only real turnovers appear here: for everything the press wins high, including restarts it forced into an error, see "Every ball won in the opponent’s third" in the press section.

When they win the ball

typetimessharefastshotxG
Won high from a settled build-up (press)366%lg 4%28%8%lg 11%0.1
Won after their long possession (10+ passes)7512%lg 9%17%3%lg 3%0.0
Won straight back after losing it (counter-press)7212%lg 13%36%10%lg 7%0.5
Won by stopping their counter254%lg 4%12%4%lg 0%0.0
Won in midfield14824%lg 25%33%5%lg 6%1.0
Won deep in own third22237%lg 39%14%4%lg 3%1.3
Won from their set piece305%lg 5%3%0%lg 3%0.0

When they lose the ball

typetimesshareopponent fastshot againstxG
Lost in own build-up under pressure366%lg 4%44%11%lg 13%0.3
Lost after own long possession (10+ passes)519%lg 9%20%2%lg 4%0.1
Lost straight after winning it6411%lg 13%36%8%lg 6%0.5
Lost during own counter366%lg 4%14%0%lg 0%0.0
Lost in midfield16429%lg 25%36%12%lg 6%2.0
Lost in the final third (attack broke down)19334%lg 39%13%4%lg 3%1.1
Lost from own set piece224%lg 5%23%5%lg 2%0.1

Possessions and turnovers in detailsub-categories

Every controlled possession is typed by how it was played, and every real turnover (a possession that was established and then lost) by what the losing side was doing, how it lost the ball and what the winner did next. "Settled" = sustained or worked possessions; "unsettled" = short, second-ball, counter and direct possessions.

25%of their turnovers the opponent turns into a fast attack · league 21%
45%Lost balls the opponent can’t keep · league 50%
9%of balls lost from settled possession lead to a shot against · league 4%
6%of balls lost from unsettled possession lead to a shot against · league 6%
22%of the balls they win become a fast attack · league 20%
5%of the balls they win produce a shot · league 5%

How they play their possessions (706 controlled open-play possessions)

typetimesshareended in a shotavg passes
sustained circulation (10+ passes)7511%lg 11%17%lg 15%13.6
worked possession (4-9 passes)17024%lg 26%9%lg 10%5.7
direct attack8412%lg 14%1%lg 2%1.4
short possession (0-3 passes)18025%lg 21%3%1.6

When they lose the ball (566 turnovers) — their rest defence

the side losing it was in…timesfast attacksecuredlost straight backcan’t keep itshotxGhow it was lost
sustained circulation (10+ passes)5221%13%13%40%2%0.1pass cut out 31, bad touch 7
worked possession (4-9 passes)12929%12%10%41%12%1.8pass cut out 70, long ball lost 31
direct attack7212%17%14%44%1%0.2long ball lost 37, pass cut out 22
short possession (0-3 passes)14938%8%5%44%11%1.4pass cut out 67, long ball lost 33
second-ball possession10020%18%7%50%5%0.5pass cut out 54, long ball lost 21
counter / fast transition4212%17%14%52%0%0.0pass cut out 19, bad touch 8
set piece2223%14%9%50%5%0.1pass cut out 11, bad touch 4

How they lose it

mechanismtimesshareled to a shot against
pass cut out27448%lg 52%4%
long ball lost13524%lg 24%4%
bad touch7113%lg 14%10%
tackled / dispossessed417%lg 6%20%
failed dribble377%lg 6%8%
error51%80%

When they win the ball (608 turnovers) — what they do with it

the opponent was in…timesfast attacksecuredlost straight backcan’t keep itshotxGhow it was lost
sustained circulation (10+ passes)7618%17%13%43%3%0.0pass cut out 38, bad touch 14
worked possession (4-9 passes)14718%12%7%48%5%0.6pass cut out 78, long ball lost 35
direct attack7732%17%8%26%4%0.9long ball lost 33, pass cut out 30
short possession (0-3 passes)12526%5%6%57%9%1.1pass cut out 47, long ball lost 35
second-ball possession12423%10%6%52%4%0.3pass cut out 67, long ball lost 22
counter / fast transition2914%17%17%45%3%0.0pass cut out 19, bad touch 5
set piece303%13%10%57%0%0.0pass cut out 18, long ball lost 7

Fast attack = their final third or box reached within 10s. Secured = kept 10s+ or 4+ passes. Lost straight back = controlled, then lost within 5s. Can’t keep it = won the ball but never got it under control (cleared it, headed it away, blocked it or lost it at once).

Phase by phase: the typessub-categories

Each phase split into the situations it is made of, every row with its league median and clips. Shots are their own category: a possession that ends in a shot has finished, it has not lost the ball.

Build-up: how it starts and how it gets out (174 build-ups)

typetimessharegot outreached the boxlost in build-upshot
from the keeper / goal kick, played out short3218%lg 17%75%25%25%9%
from the keeper / goal kick, went long (bypass)2011%lg 13%45%0%55%0%
from the keeper / goal kick, stuck / recycled127%0%8%67%8%
from the back line, played out short74%lg 8%71%14%29%0%
from the back line, went long (bypass)127%lg 5%42%17%58%8%
from a throw-in, played out short74%lg 4%57%0%29%0%
from a throw-in, went long (bypass)63%lg 3%50%0%33%0%
straight after winning it, played out short2917%lg 16%69%24%21%10%
straight after winning it, went long (bypass)2514%lg 11%32%0%64%0%
straight after winning it, stuck / recycled1710%0%0%47%0%

Their press: what happens to every opponent build-up (203)

outcometimesshareopponent shot
won it high2512%lg 10%4%
forced long, then won it back5728%lg 26%0%
forced long, they kept it115%lg 5%9%
they played through short6532%lg 30%8%
kept them stuck (recycled back)4522%lg 26%4%

Won high = the ball won in the opponent's own third. Forced long = the opponent left its third with a long ball (then either lost it in that possession, or kept it).

Chance creation: what created their shots

created byshotsshare of open playxGxG per shotgoals
cross1015%lg 12%1.60.16lg 0.111
cutback69%lg 9%0.90.15lg 0.111
through ball34%lg 3%0.40.14lg 0.170
short pass / combination3653%lg 52%2.60.07lg 0.084
long ball34%lg 4%0.40.12lg 0.071
individual (dribble / self-made)710%lg 9%0.70.10lg 0.081
rebound / second ball34%lg 9%0.60.19lg 0.132
corner (set piece)7–0.40.050
free kick (indirect) (set piece)4–0.40.111
direct free kick (set piece)2–0.10.030
throw-in (set piece)2–0.10.070
penalty (set piece)1–0.80.791

Chances they concede: what created the opponent's shots

created byshotssharexGxG per shotgoals
cross1515%lg 11%1.30.092
cutback77%lg 9%0.90.121
through ball88%lg 3%1.30.164
short pass / combination4545%lg 54%4.10.094
long ball55%lg 4%0.30.060
individual (dribble / self-made)55%lg 11%0.20.050
rebound / second ball1616%lg 9%3.00.191
corner (set piece)17–0.90.061
free kick (indirect) (set piece)5–0.50.090
direct free kick (set piece)5–0.10.021
throw-in (set piece)6–0.30.040
penalty (set piece)1–0.80.791

How their shots end

endingshotsshare
goal1113%lg 9%
keeper held it1316%lg 9%
keeper parried it911%lg 12%
blocked1214%lg 32%
off target3643%lg 37%
hit the woodwork22%

Penalties excluded. A "save" by an outfield player is a block.

Keeper transitions

After their keeper held a shot (7), median release 13s; league share turned into a fast attack 14%:

their keeper held it, then…timesshare
keeper released fast -> fast attack00%
keeper released quickly, no fast attack114%
keeper slowed the game686%

After their own shot was held by the opponent keeper (13); league share broken against fast 17%:

the opponent keeper held it, then…timesshare
keeper released fast -> fast attack00%
keeper released quickly, no fast attack18%
keeper slowed the game1292%

Fast = the keeper's side reached its final third within 15s of the save. Quick = first pass within 6s.

When it breaks downevery phase

The other half of each phase above. Their own phases break down when they lose the ball (real turnovers only); their press and block break down when the opponent gets through. Each card: how often, how, where, who is involved, and what it costs them.

Build-up breaks down

151 balls lost in 455 build-up phases (33%)

giveaways per 10 build-up phases: 3.1/10 · league 2.7/10

How
  • long ball lost83
  • pass cut out51
  • failed dribble6
  • bad touch6
Where
  • right wing37
  • centre30
  • left half-space29
  • right half-space28
Who
  • Christian Walton32
  • Kjell Scherpen24
  • Issa Diop14
  • Leif Davis13

What it costs: 40% turned into a fast attack · 44% the opponent can’t keep · 10% led to a shot · 1.6 xG

Progression breaks down

193 balls lost in 605 middle-third phases (32%)

giveaways per 10 middle-third phases: 2.8/10 · league 2.7/10

How
  • pass cut out94
  • bad touch34
  • long ball lost31
  • tackled / dispossessed19
Where
  • right wing47
  • left half-space44
  • right half-space35
  • left wing35
Who
  • Julio Enciso26
  • Abdul Fatawu24
  • Emersonn21
  • Dara O'Shea18

What it costs: 32% turned into a fast attack · 36% the opponent can’t keep · 8% led to a shot · 1.5 xG

Final third breaks down

186 balls lost in 408 final-third phases (46%)

deliveries into the box that fail to arrive: 57% · league 60%

How
  • pass cut out121
  • bad touch24
  • failed dribble17
  • tackled / dispossessed15
Where
  • centre77
  • left half-space36
  • left wing29
  • right half-space24
Who
  • Abdul Fatawu30
  • Leif Davis27
  • Julio Enciso26
  • Jaden Philogene15

What it costs: 9% turned into a fast attack · 54% the opponent can’t keep · 3% led to a shot · 0.5 xG

42 deliveries into the box did not arrive

Counter-attacks fail

42 of 65 counter-attacks lost (65%)

attacking transitions that produce a shot: 19% · league 18%

How
  • pass cut out19
  • bad touch8
  • tackled / dispossessed7
  • failed dribble5
Where
  • centre13
  • left wing12
  • right wing8
  • left half-space5
Who
  • Julio Enciso9
  • Abdul Fatawu6
  • Emersonn5
  • Jaden Philogene5

What it costs: 12% turned into a fast attack · 52% the opponent can’t keep · 0% led to a shot · 0.0 xG

65 counters: 14 ended in a shot, 42 were lost, 9 slowed down or went out

Their press is beaten

75 of 179 opponent build-ups got out (42%)

opponent build-ups that get out cleanly: 42% · league 46%

How
  • short pass44
  • long ball17
  • carry9
Where
  • right half-space20
  • right wing16
  • left half-space13
  • left wing12
Who
  • centre-back34
  • full-back15
  • central midfielder12
  • goalkeeper6

What it costs: 43% reached the final third · 11% led to a shot · 0.7 xG

Sides are their own: "down the left" = down their left.

Their block is broken

124 box entries in 475 opponent final-third phases (26%)

opponent final-third phases that create: 48% · league 51%

How
  • carry75
  • short pass27
  • cross12
  • dribble5
Where
  • centre37
  • right half-space35
  • left half-space32
  • left wing13
Who
  • winger43
  • full-back18
  • striker16
  • central midfielder15

What it costs: 53% led to a shot · 9.5 xG

Sides are their own.

Set pieces backfire

22 set pieces lost in open play

How
  • pass cut out11
  • bad touch4
  • tackled / dispossessed3
  • long ball lost3
Where
  • centre7
  • right wing6
  • right half-space4
  • left half-space3
Who
  • Abdul Fatawu4
  • Dara O'Shea3
  • Samuel Amissah2
  • Issa Diop2

What it costs: 23% turned into a fast attack · 50% the opponent can’t keep · 5% led to a shot · 0.1 xG

Their corners and free kicks that were lost in open play, and what the opponent did next.

Set piecesattacking corners

23corners (2.9 per match)
13%end in a shot
0.1xG from corners

Delivery

  • near post43%shot 10% · 0.0 xG
  • central35%shot 0% · 0.0 xG
  • far post22%shot 40% · 0.1 xG

Who

Takers: Samuel Amissah (9), Abdul Fatawu (8), Jaden Philogene (2)

First contact in the box: Dara O'Shea (3), Samuel Amissah (1), Jacob Greaves (1), Emersonn (1), Abdul Fatawu (1)

Key players

What each player does in the phases, counted over the window. Only lines that clear a minimum count are shown.

Julio EncisoAM
  • gets it into the box 14 times (43% end in a shot)
  • 23 shots, 1.7 npxG, 1 goals
  • 23 ball wins high up the pitch
Exequiel PalaciosCM
  • takes it into the final third 21 times (57% become a chance)
Issa DiopCB
  • plays 32 build-up exits (78% carry on cleanly)
Dara O'SheaFB
  • gets it into the box 11 times (36% end in a shot)
Leif DavisFB
  • gets it into the box 11 times (55% end in a shot)
Abdul FatawuW
  • gets it into the box 11 times (73% end in a shot)
Samuel AmissahCM
  • takes it into the final third 16 times (38% become a chance)
Daizen MaedaW
  • gets it into the box 10 times (20% end in a shot)
Christian WaltonGK
  • plays 23 build-up exits (30% carry on cleanly)

Where a player changes the outcome (p<0.05)

Against the leaguesupporting evidence

The comparison behind the report: each behaviour as a rate per opportunity, ranked among the 20 Premier League clubs' full seasons, with how many of the 8 matches sat on the same side of the league median. "Style" is never a verdict.

behaviourIpswichleague medianrankmatches
styleturnovers lost during an own counter6%4%1 / 205/8
weaknessballs lost in midfield that led to an opponent shot12%6%2 / 205/8
weaknessballs lost from a settled possession that led to an opponent shot9%4%2 / 206/8
stylecutback per 100 final third phases1.0/1002.6/10019 / 206/8
weaknessfinal-third phases that created (box entry or key pass)42%50%20 / 206/8
stylebuild-ups from the back line played out short4%8%19 / 207/8
weaknessxG conceded after winning the ball (transition)0.52 xG0.35 xG2 / 205/8
stylefinal-third entries played by a midfielder (DM/CM)39%28%1 / 208/8
strengthshots blocked14%32%20 / 208/8
stylecontrolled possessions that are short possessions (0-3 passes)25%21%2 / 207/8
weaknessxG from own corners / free kicks0.08 xG0.19 xG19 / 207/8
stylebuild-up exits down the left32%43%20 / 206/8
styleopen-play shots conceded from through balls8%3%1 / 206/8
weaknesslost balls the opponent can't keep45%50%19 / 206/8
stylebox entries with a cross15%7%1 / 207/8
styleshots held by the keeper16%9%1 / 206/8
stylethird man combination per 100 final third phases11.3/10017.1/10020 / 208/8
weaknessbuild-up giveaways per 10 build-up phases3.1/102.7/101 / 205/8
Their most dangerous routes
phaseroutetimesshottheir average
How they change against different opponents
splitbehaviourabp
when trailing vs when levelbuild-up exits down the right40%70%0.0012
when trailing vs when levelbox entries by carrying it in50%79%0.0043
when trailing vs when levelbuild-up exits played by the goalkeeper25%43%0.0409
second half vs first halffinal-third entries through the centre12%26%0.0375
second half vs first halfbuild-up exits down the right42%61%0.0379
The 8 matches
dateopponentresultnpxGopponent presswhat happened
2026-08-22vs SunderlandW 2-11.1–0.8pressed aggressivelyWon 2-1, chances 1.10 v 0.78 xG. Sunderland pressed harder than a typical Premier League side does (strict PPDA 10.1, league median 14.4) and went long on 62% of their own build-ups. Biggest departure from their norm: final-third entries by carrying it in 7%, far below their usual 25%.
2026-08-30at Man UtdL 2-50.9–3.7mid-intensity pressLost 2-5 and the chances agreed (0.93 v 3.70 xG). Man Utd pressed at roughly league-average intensity (strict PPDA 13.3, league median 14.4). Biggest departure from their norm: non-penalty xG conceded 3.70 xG, far above their usual 1.61 xG.
2026-09-04vs LiverpoolL 0-20.9–0.7mid-intensity pressLost 0-2 and the chances agreed (0.94 v 0.69 xG). Liverpool pressed at roughly league-average intensity (strict PPDA 16.6, league median 14.4). Biggest departure from their norm: opponent final-third phases that created 39%, far below their usual 49%.
2026-09-12at Crystal PalaceW 3-21.6–0.7sat deep / passiveWon 3-2, chances 1.58 v 0.70 xG. Crystal Palace defended deep and let them have the ball (strict PPDA 18.7, league median 14.4). Biggest departure from their norm: PPDA, strict (opponent passes in their own 60% per committed ball-winning action) 10.4, far below their usual 16.1.
2026-09-19at EvertonL 0-11.2–1.6mid-intensity pressLost 0-1 and the chances agreed (1.21 v 1.57 xG). Everton pressed at roughly league-average intensity (strict PPDA 17.1, league median 14.4) and went long on 52% of their own build-ups. Biggest departure from their norm: ball given away during build-up 26.0/match, far above their usual 17.5/match.
2026-10-10vs FulhamW 2-11.1–1.1sat deep / passiveWon 2-1, chances 1.07 v 1.11 xG. Fulham defended deep and let them have the ball (strict PPDA 19.1, league median 14.4) and went long on 50% of their own build-ups. Biggest departure from their norm: build-ups that carried on into the next third under control 75%, far above their usual 49%.
2026-10-17at Man CityL 2-30.7–2.5mid-intensity pressLost 2-3 and the chances agreed (0.66 v 2.48 xG). Man City pressed at roughly league-average intensity (strict PPDA 13.2, league median 14.4). Biggest departure from their norm: middle-third phases that progressed into the final third 38%, far below their usual 69%.
2026-10-23vs Nottingham ForestD 1-10.6–1.8mid-intensity pressDrew 1-1 (0.57 v 1.85 xG). Nottingham Forest pressed at roughly league-average intensity (strict PPDA 16.9, league median 14.4) and went long on 65% of their own build-ups. Biggest departure from their norm: chance-creation phases that produced a shot 17%, far below their usual 35%.

Method and limits

◀ Tactical Analyst
Vision AI · building report