Bournemouth — opposition report

Premier League 2026/27 · 8 matches (2026-08-23 to 2026-10-25) · W2 D3 L3 · goals 12–13 · npxG 12.4–7.9 · WhoScored event data, every sequence rebuilt from the raw feed

Early season: built from 8 league matches. League ranks and splits move a lot at this stage — read them as provisional, and lean on the clips.

The short version

How to beat themgame plan

Each line is generated from a finding that cleared its evidence bar; nothing here is a generic coaching point. The grey line says what it rests on; the button opens the sequences.

Beating their press

  1. Copy the sides that escaped it: Man City got out 64% (long on 8%), Chelsea got out 61% (long on 30%).

    Average escape rate against them is 46%.

Transitions

  1. When you win it, go down their right side immediately.

    46% of the xG they concede after losing the ball comes down their right side (46 attacks, 8 shots), against 33% of their own attacking xG through that channel.

Set pieces

  1. Avoid conceding corners; mark Ryan Christie first.

    30% of their corners end in a shot; first contacts: Ryan Christie (4), António Silva (3), James Hill (2).

Shape and structurein possession, by phase

Where each player takes the ball in each phase of their possession, and who passes to whom. Event data has no off-ball positions, so this is the shape of their touches — the standard event-data proxy. A phase is defined by where the ball is, so the dots sit inside that phase's third (shaded): read the order and the width, not the depth of each line. Bournemouth attack left to right.

Djordje Petrovic → James Hill: 54António Silva → Djordje Petrovic: 45James Hill → Djordje Petrovic: 29Djordje Petrovic → António Silva: 28António Silva → James Hill: 24Adrien Truffert → António Silva: 17Djordje Petrovic (GK) -- 250 touchesD. PetrovicAntónio Silva (CB) -- 194 touchesA. SilvaJames Hill (CB) -- 194 touchesJ. HillAdrien Truffert (FB) -- 133 touchesA. TruffertTyler Adams (CM) -- 86 touchesT. AdamsAlex Scott (CM) -- 61 touchesA. ScottMarcus Tavernier (W) -- 58 touchesM. TavernierAdam Smith (FB) -- 58 touchesA. SmithLewis Cook (CM) -- 46 touchesL. CookRyan Christie (CM) -- 34 touchesR. ChristieEvanilson (ST) -- 29 touchesEvanilsonRayan (W) -- 28 touchesRayan

attacking → · shaded = the build-up zone

Most involved
  • Djordje Petrovic43% of build-up phases
  • António Silva32% of build-up phases
  • James Hill31% of build-up phases
  • Adrien Truffert19% of build-up phases
Main connections
  • Djordje Petrovic → James Hill54
  • António Silva → Djordje Petrovic45
  • James Hill → Djordje Petrovic29
  • Djordje Petrovic → António Silva28
  • António Silva → James Hill24
  • Adrien Truffert → António Silva17

485 build-up phases. Dot = the median spot of a player's touches in this phase; size = share of touches; lines = consecutive touches between two players.

Their pressout of possession

40defensive actions per match in the opponent's final 40%
46%of opponent build-ups got out into the next third
6.1high regains per match
16%of those regains led to a shot

Who presses

  • Evanilson52
  • Rayan46
  • Marcus Tavernier34
  • Alex Scott24
  • Tyler Adams22
  • Adrien Truffert20

Tackles, interceptions, recoveries, blocks, challenges and fouls in the opponent's final 40%.

Every ball won in the opponent's third, by source

200 in the window. The press on a build-up = the first two rows: 43 (5.4 a match).

sourcetimesshareper matchshot
press: settled build-up taken off them4221%5.25%
press: their restart forced into an error before they settled10%0.10%
counter-press: won straight back after losing it147%1.829%
second ball: the opponent touched it but never controlled it14372%17.927%
↳ rebound after their own shot (saved or blocked)2312%2.935%
↳ their cross / ball into the box, cleared5427%6.835%
↳ their long ball, only headed or touched away168%2.012%
↳ after their own throw-in / set piece94%1.10%
↳ loose ball in their combination play (pass blocked or tackled)4120%5.122%

What triggers a regain

opponent wasshareleaguerank
passing forward33%25%6 / 20
passing to a full-back22%13%4 / 20
dribbling or a loose touch14%31%20 / 20
passing back6%3%3 / 20
passing sideways6%6%10 / 20
going long4%7%17 / 20
taking a throw-in4%3%5 / 20
passing to the keeper0%0%9 / 20
a loose ball0%0%1 / 20

Who got out, and how

0%25%50%75%100%0%25%50%75%share of build-ups that went longgot out of the pressMan City: got out 64%, went long 8% (25 build-ups)Man CityChelsea: got out 61%, went long 30% (23 build-ups)ChelseaBrentford: got out 54%, went long 33% (24 build-ups)BrentfordMan Utd: got out 44%, went long 30% (27 build-ups)Liverpool: got out 38%, went long 29% (21 build-ups)Newcastle: got out 38%, went long 34% (29 build-ups)Sunderland: got out 31%, went long 56% (16 build-ups)Everton: got out 25%, went long 38% (16 build-ups)Everton

The opponents who went long most (40% of build-ups) got out 37% of the time; those who mostly played short (24% long) got out 52%. That is a lean, not proven at 20 matches (p=0.0962).

Best escapes: Man City 64%; Chelsea 61%; Brentford 54%. One dot per match; hover for the opponent.

Transitions

When they win it

14.5fast attacks per match (counters, high transitions, high ball-wins)
19%end in a shot

Most often started by James Hill (16), Ryan Christie (15), Evanilson (14), Marcus Tavernier (13).

Counter-press: losing it, by where

lost inlosseswon back within 5sled to a shot
own third3348%15%
midfield20725%0%
final third30628%1%

When they lose it — where the damage comes

39%47 attacks · 8 shots · 0.8 xG15%16 attacks · 3 shots · 0.3 xG46%46 attacks · 8 shots · 1.0 xG

13.6 opponent attacks per match after winning the ball in open play that broke forward fast or reached the final third. Shading and % = share of the xG they produced, by the channel they used. Bournemouth's goal is on the left. Central attacks carry more xG for every team, so compare with Bournemouth's own attacking xG in the same kind of channel (centre, or the average flank): right 46% conceded vs 33% own, left 39% conceded vs 33% own, centre 15% conceded vs 35% own.

Right
Left
Centre

Transition types

Every real turnover, named by the situation it came from. "Fast" = the side with the ball reached the final third within 10 seconds. Only real turnovers appear here: for everything the press wins high, including restarts it forced into an error, see "Every ball won in the opponent’s third" in the press section.

When they win the ball

typetimessharefastshotxG
Won high from a settled build-up (press)416%lg 4%39%5%lg 11%0.2
Won after their long possession (10+ passes)487%lg 9%12%0%lg 3%0.0
Won straight back after losing it (counter-press)8213%lg 13%33%10%lg 7%0.8
Won by stopping their counter294%lg 4%10%0%lg 0%0.0
Won in midfield19530%lg 25%29%5%lg 6%0.8
Won deep in own third23136%lg 39%15%4%lg 3%0.8
Won from their set piece203%lg 5%10%5%lg 3%0.0

When they lose the ball

typetimesshareopponent fastshot againstxG
Lost in own build-up under pressure163%lg 5%19%19%lg 11%0.2
Lost after own long possession (10+ passes)417%lg 9%7%0%lg 4%0.0
Lost straight after winning it9315%lg 12%30%5%lg 8%0.3
Lost during own counter315%lg 4%6%0%lg 0%0.0
Lost in midfield16126%lg 25%29%2%lg 7%0.5
Lost in the final third (attack broke down)24941%lg 39%12%4%lg 3%0.9
Lost from own set piece183%lg 5%28%6%lg 2%0.4

Possessions and turnovers in detailsub-categories

Every controlled possession is typed by how it was played, and every real turnover (a possession that was established and then lost) by what the losing side was doing, how it lost the ball and what the winner did next. "Settled" = sustained or worked possessions; "unsettled" = short, second-ball, counter and direct possessions.

20%of their turnovers the opponent turns into a fast attack · league 22%
49%Lost balls the opponent can’t keep · league 50%
4%of balls lost from settled possession lead to a shot against · league 4%
4%of balls lost from unsettled possession lead to a shot against · league 6%
22%of the balls they win become a fast attack · league 20%
5%of the balls they win produce a shot · league 5%

How they play their possessions (771 controlled open-play possessions)

typetimesshareended in a shotavg passes
sustained circulation (10+ passes)709%lg 11%20%lg 15%13.0
worked possession (4-9 passes)18624%lg 26%12%lg 10%5.6
direct attack10614%lg 13%2%lg 2%1.5
short possession (0-3 passes)17723%lg 21%4%1.3

When they lose the ball (609 turnovers) — their rest defence

the side losing it was in…timesfast attacksecuredlost straight backcan’t keep itshotxGhow it was lost
sustained circulation (10+ passes)439%19%9%56%0%0.0pass cut out 31, long ball lost 8
worked possession (4-9 passes)14115%18%10%44%5%0.6pass cut out 65, long ball lost 44
direct attack9123%9%13%46%4%0.5long ball lost 40, pass cut out 36
short possession (0-3 passes)14829%11%5%48%6%0.8pass cut out 75, long ball lost 28
second-ball possession12717%8%11%50%2%0.1pass cut out 63, long ball lost 24
counter / fast transition417%15%5%71%0%0.0pass cut out 25, bad touch 6
set piece1828%6%11%44%6%0.4pass cut out 10, long ball lost 6

How they lose it

mechanismtimesshareled to a shot against
pass cut out30550%lg 52%3%
long ball lost15525%lg 24%3%
bad touch8314%lg 14%6%
tackled / dispossessed335%lg 6%12%
failed dribble274%lg 6%0%

When they win the ball (646 turnovers) — what they do with it

the opponent was in…timesfast attacksecuredlost straight backcan’t keep itshotxGhow it was lost
sustained circulation (10+ passes)5012%14%12%48%0%0.0pass cut out 34, bad touch 7
worked possession (4-9 passes)15824%7%10%49%6%0.6pass cut out 81, long ball lost 36
direct attack9529%17%7%40%2%0.2long ball lost 51, pass cut out 34
short possession (0-3 passes)13726%12%12%48%9%1.2pass cut out 69, long ball lost 27
second-ball possession15021%9%8%52%4%0.4pass cut out 80, long ball lost 30
counter / fast transition3611%14%19%53%3%0.1pass cut out 15, bad touch 9
set piece2010%15%10%60%5%0.0pass cut out 11, long ball lost 6

Fast attack = their final third or box reached within 10s. Secured = kept 10s+ or 4+ passes. Lost straight back = controlled, then lost within 5s. Can’t keep it = won the ball but never got it under control (cleared it, headed it away, blocked it or lost it at once).

Phase by phase: the typessub-categories

Each phase split into the situations it is made of, every row with its league median and clips. Shots are their own category: a possession that ends in a shot has finished, it has not lost the ball.

Build-up: how it starts and how it gets out (175 build-ups)

typetimessharegot outreached the boxlost in build-upshot
from the keeper / goal kick, played out short2917%lg 17%69%10%31%0%
from the keeper / goal kick, went long (bypass)2313%lg 13%43%13%52%4%
from the keeper / goal kick, stuck / recycled74%0%0%86%0%
from the back line, played out short116%lg 8%45%18%36%0%
from the back line, went long (bypass)169%lg 5%12%0%69%0%
from a throw-in, played out short63%lg 4%50%50%17%50%
from a throw-in, went long (bypass)53%lg 3%0%20%100%0%
straight after winning it, played out short3922%lg 16%59%26%38%18%
straight after winning it, went long (bypass)1911%lg 11%32%16%68%11%
straight after winning it, stuck / recycled1710%0%29%18%0%

Their press: what happens to every opponent build-up (206)

outcometimesshareopponent shot
won it high3015%lg 10%3%
forced long, then won it back5929%lg 26%0%
forced long, they kept it84%lg 5%12%
they played through short6532%lg 30%11%
kept them stuck (recycled back)4421%lg 26%0%

Won high = the ball won in the opponent's own third. Forced long = the opponent left its third with a long ball (then either lost it in that possession, or kept it).

Chance creation: what created their shots

created byshotsshare of open playxGxG per shotgoals
cross89%lg 12%0.70.09lg 0.110
cutback1112%lg 9%1.60.15lg 0.113
through ball33%lg 3%0.40.14lg 0.170
short pass / combination3944%lg 53%3.00.08lg 0.082
long ball56%lg 4%0.20.05lg 0.081
individual (dribble / self-made)1213%lg 9%0.90.08lg 0.081
rebound / second ball1112%lg 9%1.40.13lg 0.132
corner (set piece)14–3.40.251
free kick (indirect) (set piece)6–0.40.061
direct free kick (set piece)4–0.10.030
throw-in (set piece)3–0.20.060

Chances they concede: what created the opponent's shots

created byshotssharexGxG per shotgoals
cross59%lg 12%0.80.152
cutback47%lg 9%0.50.121
through ball35%lg 3%0.50.181
short pass / combination3256%lg 53%2.50.082
long ball12%lg 4%0.10.051
individual (dribble / self-made)59%lg 11%0.40.071
rebound / second ball712%lg 9%1.20.171
corner (set piece)14–1.40.102
free kick (indirect) (set piece)8–0.40.051
direct free kick (set piece)4–0.10.031
throw-in (set piece)1–0.00.040

How their shots end

endingshotsshare
goal119%lg 9%
keeper held it1311%lg 9%
keeper parried it1614%lg 11%
blocked2925%lg 32%
off target4640%lg 37%
hit the woodwork11%

Penalties excluded. A "save" by an outfield player is a block.

Keeper transitions

After their keeper held a shot (5), median release 10s; league share turned into a fast attack 10%:

their keeper held it, then…timesshare
keeper released fast -> fast attack120%
keeper released quickly, no fast attack00%
keeper slowed the game480%

After their own shot was held by the opponent keeper (13); league share broken against fast 17%:

the opponent keeper held it, then…timesshare
keeper released fast -> fast attack18%
keeper released quickly, no fast attack18%
keeper slowed the game1185%

Fast = the keeper's side reached its final third within 15s of the save. Quick = first pass within 6s.

When it breaks downevery phase

The other half of each phase above. Their own phases break down when they lose the ball (real turnovers only); their press and block break down when the opponent gets through. Each card: how often, how, where, who is involved, and what it costs them.

Build-up breaks down

167 balls lost in 485 build-up phases (34%)

giveaways per 10 build-up phases: 3.0/10 · league 2.7/10

How
  • long ball lost103
  • pass cut out50
  • bad touch6
  • failed dribble3
Where
  • right half-space55
  • right wing50
  • left half-space22
  • centre22
Who
  • James Hill49
  • Djordje Petrovic48
  • Adrien Truffert11
  • António Silva10

What it costs: 26% turned into a fast attack · 45% the opponent can’t keep · 4% led to a shot · 0.8 xG

Progression breaks down

212 balls lost in 686 middle-third phases (31%)

giveaways per 10 middle-third phases: 2.8/10 · league 2.7/10

How
  • pass cut out110
  • bad touch36
  • long ball lost34
  • tackled / dispossessed17
Where
  • left half-space53
  • right half-space42
  • centre42
  • right wing39
Who
  • Evanilson40
  • Marcus Tavernier31
  • Rayan21
  • James Hill18

What it costs: 20% turned into a fast attack · 44% the opponent can’t keep · 3% led to a shot · 0.4 xG

Final third breaks down

200 balls lost in 456 final-third phases (44%)

deliveries into the box that fail to arrive: 50% · league 60%

How
  • pass cut out134
  • bad touch36
  • tackled / dispossessed12
  • long ball lost9
Where
  • centre89
  • left half-space31
  • right half-space27
  • left wing27
Who
  • Marcus Tavernier36
  • Rayan33
  • Adrien Truffert31
  • Evanilson19

What it costs: 11% turned into a fast attack · 60% the opponent can’t keep · 4% led to a shot · 0.7 xG

56 deliveries into the box did not arrive

Counter-attacks fail

41 of 58 counter-attacks lost (71%)

attacking transitions that produce a shot: 19% · league 18%

How
  • pass cut out25
  • bad touch6
  • long ball lost5
  • tackled / dispossessed3
Where
  • centre15
  • left half-space11
  • right half-space8
  • right wing4
Who
  • Marcus Tavernier7
  • Alex Scott7
  • Rayan6
  • Adrien Truffert5

What it costs: 7% turned into a fast attack · 71% the opponent can’t keep · 0% led to a shot · 0.0 xG

58 counters: 10 ended in a shot, 41 were lost, 7 slowed down or went out

Their press is beaten

83 of 181 opponent build-ups got out (46%)

opponent build-ups that get out cleanly: 46% · league 45%

How
  • short pass48
  • long ball16
  • carry13
Where
  • right wing21
  • centre17
  • left wing16
  • left half-space14
Who
  • centre-back34
  • central midfielder17
  • full-back12
  • goalkeeper7

What it costs: 22% reached the final third · 8% led to a shot · 0.8 xG

Sides are their own: "down the left" = down their left.

Their block is broken

110 box entries in 395 opponent final-third phases (28%)

opponent final-third phases that create: 51% · league 50%

How
  • carry53
  • short pass33
  • cross7
  • dribble7
Where
  • right half-space35
  • left half-space30
  • centre20
  • right wing13
Who
  • winger31
  • full-back21
  • central midfielder16
  • centre-back15

What it costs: 42% led to a shot · 5.6 xG

Sides are their own.

Set pieces backfire

18 set pieces lost in open play

How
  • pass cut out10
  • long ball lost6
  • error1
  • bad touch1
Where
  • centre7
  • right half-space5
  • left wing3
  • left half-space2
Who
  • Marcus Tavernier4
  • Rayan3
  • James Hill3
  • Adrien Truffert3

What it costs: 28% turned into a fast attack · 44% the opponent can’t keep · 6% led to a shot · 0.4 xG

Their corners and free kicks that were lost in open play, and what the opponent did next.

Set piecesattacking corners

37corners (4.6 per match)
30%end in a shot
2.6xG from corners

Delivery

  • central51%shot 16% · 1.1 xG
  • near post41%shot 47% · 1.0 xG
  • far post5%shot 50% · 0.6 xG
  • short3%shot 0% · 0.0 xG

Who

Takers: Marcus Tavernier (19), Alex Scott (10), Lewis Cook (6)

First contact in the box: Ryan Christie (4), António Silva (3), James Hill (2), Rayan (2), Evanilson (1)

Key players

What each player does in the phases, counted over the window. Only lines that clear a minimum count are shown.

RayanW
  • gets it into the box 24 times (58% end in a shot)
  • 26 shots, 2.4 npxG, 1 goals
EvanilsonST
  • gets it into the box 17 times (71% end in a shot)
  • 21 shots, 2.6 npxG, 3 goals
  • 18 ball wins high up the pitch
James HillCB
  • plays 38 build-up exits (37% carry on cleanly)
  • takes it into the final third 17 times (29% become a chance)
  • gets it into the box 11 times (18% end in a shot)
Marcus TavernierW
  • gets it into the box 12 times (33% end in a shot)
  • 17 shots, 1.9 npxG, 5 goals
  • 23 ball wins high up the pitch
António SilvaCB
  • plays 23 build-up exits (57% carry on cleanly)
  • takes it into the final third 28 times (32% become a chance)
Alex ScottCM
  • 16 ball wins high up the pitch
Adrien TruffertFB
  • gets it into the box 12 times (58% end in a shot)
Ryan ChristieCM
  • 15 ball wins high up the pitch
Djordje PetrovicGK
  • plays 22 build-up exits (45% carry on cleanly)

Where a player changes the outcome (p<0.05)

Against the leaguesupporting evidence

The comparison behind the report: each behaviour as a rate per opportunity, ranked among the 20 Premier League clubs' full seasons, with how many of the 8 matches sat on the same side of the league median. "Style" is never a verdict.

behaviourBournemouthleague medianrankmatches
strengthxG from own corners / free kicks0.40 xG0.18 xG1 / 205/8
stylebetween the lines per 100 progression phases2.0/1001.0/1001 / 207/8
styleturnovers won from an opponent set piece3%5%20 / 208/8
strengthbuild-up giveaways that led to an opponent shot within 15s2%6%20 / 208/8
stylefinal-third entries through the centre7%12%20 / 206/8
stylebuild-ups straight after a regain played out short22%16%2 / 205/8
strengthbuild-ups that left the own third (or went for it)87%80%2 / 206/8
styleturnovers lost in the own build-up under pressure3%5%20 / 207/8
stylebuild-ups that stayed stuck / recycled15%22%19 / 207/8
strengthballs lost in midfield that led to an opponent shot2%7%20 / 207/8
stylebuild-ups from the back line going long9%5%2 / 206/8
stylebuild-up exits down the right48%38%2 / 206/8
styleturnovers won in midfield30%25%2 / 207/8
strengthgiveaways that led to an opponent shot within 15s2%3%20 / 208/8
styleturnovers lost from an own set piece3%5%19 / 208/8
stylebuild-up exits played by a midfielder (DM/CM)10%17%20 / 208/8
styleturnovers won high while pressing the build-up6%4%2 / 207/8
strengthhigh-press regains per 10 opponent build-ups1.0/100.7/102 / 205/8
Their most dangerous routes
phaseroutetimesshottheir average
How they change against different opponents
splitbehaviourabp
when leading vs when levelbuild-up exits down the right37%58%0.0293
when leading vs when levelbox entries with a cross3%13%0.0497
when trailing vs when levelbuild-up exits by carrying it out15%2%0.0221
second half vs first halfbuild-up exits played by the goalkeeper7%26%0.0036
second half vs first halffinal-third entries down the left62%40%0.0184
second half vs first halfbox entries with a cross4%16%0.025
The 8 matches
dateopponentresultnpxGopponent presswhat happened
2026-08-23at Man CityL 1-20.5–1.6pressed aggressivelyLost 1-2 and the chances agreed (0.47 v 1.63 xG). Man City pressed harder than a typical Premier League side does (strict PPDA 11.0, league median 14.4). Biggest departure from their norm: PPDA, strict (opponent passes in their own 60% per committed ball-winning action) 21.1, far above their usual 13.5.
2026-08-29vs EvertonD 1-12.4–1.6mid-intensity pressDrew 1-1 (2.41 v 1.59 xG). Everton pressed at roughly league-average intensity (strict PPDA 14.7, league median 14.4) and went long on 60% of their own build-ups. Biggest departure from their norm: build-up exits down the left 16%, far below their usual 38%.
2026-09-05at NewcastleD 2-21.3–0.7pressed aggressivelyDrew 2-2 (1.27 v 0.65 xG). Newcastle pressed harder than a typical Premier League side does (strict PPDA 10.9, league median 14.4). Biggest departure from their norm: ball given away during build-up 12.0/match, far below their usual 18.4/match.
2026-09-12vs BrentfordD 2-22.0–0.5mid-intensity pressDrew 2-2 (1.95 v 0.52 xG). Brentford pressed at roughly league-average intensity (strict PPDA 12.7, league median 14.4). Biggest departure from their norm: opponent final-third phases that created 61%, far above their usual 51%.
2026-09-20vs LiverpoolL 0-10.9–1.3mid-intensity pressLost 0-1 and the chances agreed (0.88 v 1.27 xG). Liverpool pressed at roughly league-average intensity (strict PPDA 14.2, league median 14.4). Biggest departure from their norm: chance-creation phases that produced a shot 20%, far below their usual 35%.
2026-10-10at ChelseaL 1-51.7–0.8mid-intensity pressLost 1-5 despite the better chances (1.69 v 0.77 xG) -- a finishing / goalkeeping defeat more than a tactical one. Chelsea pressed at roughly league-average intensity (strict PPDA 15.8, league median 14.4). Biggest departure from their norm: box entries with a cross 29%, far above their usual 10%.
2026-10-18vs SunderlandW 2-02.6–0.1sat deep / passiveWon 2-0, chances 2.62 v 0.12 xG. Sunderland defended deep and let them have the ball (strict PPDA 29.4, league median 14.4) and went long on 64% of their own build-ups. Biggest departure from their norm: giveaways regained within 5s (counter-press) 45%, far above their usual 28%.
2026-10-25at Man UtdW 3-01.1–1.3mid-intensity pressWon 3-0, chances 1.07 v 1.34 xG. Man Utd pressed at roughly league-average intensity (strict PPDA 14.2, league median 14.4). Biggest departure from their norm: middle-third phases that progressed into the final third 44%, far below their usual 61%.

Method and limits

◀ Tactical Analyst
Vision AI · building report