Marseille — opposition report

Ligue 1 2026/27 · 8 matches (2026-08-21 to 2026-10-25) · W4 D0 L4 · goals 18–13 · npxG 9.3–12.8 · WhoScored event data, every sequence rebuilt from the raw feed

Early season: built from 8 league matches. League ranks and splits move a lot at this stage — read them as provisional, and lean on the clips.

The short version

How to beat themgame plan

Each line is generated from a finding that cleared its evidence bar; nothing here is a generic coaching point. The grey line says what it rests on; the button opens the sequences.

Where to press

  1. Let the ball go to Emerson and press him when he receives.

    Build-up exits made by Emerson: the build-up carried on cleanly 40% of the time, vs 69% through anyone else (15 times).

Transitions

  1. Hit them while they are unsettled: press the moment they win the ball, before they can settle into possession. Their rest defence holds once they are circulating.

    When they lose short or broken possessions, 10% lead to a shot against (273 turnovers); after settled possession only 5% do (264) -- p=0.0626.

Shape and structurein possession, by phase

Where each player takes the ball in each phase of their possession, and who passes to whom. Event data has no off-ball positions, so this is the shape of their touches — the standard event-data proxy. A phase is defined by where the ball is, so the dots sit inside that phase's third (shaded): read the order and the width, not the depth of each line. Marseille attack left to right.

CJ Egan-Riley → Jeffrey de Lange: 47Jeffrey de Lange → CJ Egan-Riley: 47Nayef Aguerd → Jeffrey de Lange: 36Jeffrey de Lange → Nayef Aguerd: 35Emerson → Nayef Aguerd: 26Jeffrey de Lange (GK) -- 272 touchesJ. de LangeCJ Egan-Riley (CB) -- 202 touchesC. Egan-RileyPierre-Emile Højbjerg / Himad Abdelli (CM) -- 180 touchesP. Højbjerg / H. AbdelliNayef Aguerd (CB) -- 178 touchesN. AguerdEmerson (FB) -- 113 touchesEmersonTimothy Weah (FB) -- 88 touchesT. WeahAmine Harit (W) -- 42 touchesA. HaritIgor Paixão (W) -- 31 touchesI. PaixãoTochukwu Nnadi (CM) -- 31 touchesT. NnadiAngel Gomes (AM) -- 27 touchesA. GomesAmine Gouiri (ST) -- 25 touchesA. Gouiri

attacking → · shaded = the build-up zone

Most involved
  • Jeffrey de Lange46% of build-up phases
  • CJ Egan-Riley34% of build-up phases
  • Nayef Aguerd29% of build-up phases
  • Emerson21% of build-up phases
Main connections
  • CJ Egan-Riley → Jeffrey de Lange47
  • Jeffrey de Lange → CJ Egan-Riley47
  • Nayef Aguerd → Jeffrey de Lange36
  • Jeffrey de Lange → Nayef Aguerd35
  • Emerson → Nayef Aguerd26
  • Geoffrey Kondogbia → Jeffrey de Lange25

424 build-up phases. Dot = the median spot of a player's touches in this phase; size = share of touches; lines = consecutive touches between two players.

Their pressout of possession

32defensive actions per match in the opponent's final 40%
46%of opponent build-ups got out into the next third
6.5high regains per match
12%of those regains led to a shot

Who presses

  • Igor Paixão34
  • Amine Gouiri33
  • Angel Gomes22
  • Pierre-Emile Højbjerg21
  • Himad Abdelli21
  • Timothy Weah19

Tackles, interceptions, recoveries, blocks, challenges and fouls in the opponent's final 40%.

Every ball won in the opponent's third, by source

188 in the window. The press on a build-up = the first two rows: 43 (5.4 a match).

sourcetimesshareper matchshot
press: settled build-up taken off them4222%5.212%
press: their restart forced into an error before they settled11%0.1100%
counter-press: won straight back after losing it158%1.97%
second ball: the opponent touched it but never controlled it13069%16.229%
↳ rebound after their own shot (saved or blocked)126%1.517%
↳ their cross / ball into the box, cleared6937%8.633%
↳ their long ball, only headed or touched away74%0.943%
↳ after their own throw-in / set piece84%1.012%
↳ loose ball in their combination play (pass blocked or tackled)3418%4.226%

What triggers a regain

opponent wasshareleaguerank
passing forward33%23%6 / 18
dribbling or a loose touch23%28%15 / 18
going long15%6%1 / 18
passing to a full-back13%18%12 / 18
passing sideways6%7%11 / 18
passing back2%2%9 / 18
passing to the keeper2%2%9 / 18
a loose ball0%0%1 / 18
taking a throw-in0%4%17 / 18

Who got out, and how

0%25%50%75%100%0%25%50%75%share of build-ups that went longgot out of the pressPSG: got out 61%, went long 11% (18 build-ups)PSGMonaco: got out 59%, went long 36% (22 build-ups)MonacoAngers: got out 50%, went long 23% (26 build-ups)AngersLe Havre: got out 47%, went long 24% (17 build-ups)Paris FC: got out 46%, went long 21% (24 build-ups)Rennes: got out 43%, went long 29% (14 build-ups)Troyes: got out 38%, went long 19% (26 build-ups)Strasbourg: got out 30%, went long 26% (23 build-ups)

The opponents who went long most (29% of build-ups) got out 45% of the time; those who mostly played short (19% long) got out 49%. That is a lean, not proven at 20 matches (p=0.5982).

Best escapes: PSG 61%; Monaco 59%; Angers 50%. One dot per match; hover for the opponent.

Transitions

When they win it

15.0fast attacks per match (counters, high transitions, high ball-wins)
18%end in a shot

Most often started by Himad Abdelli (19), Emerson (14), Pierre-Emile Højbjerg (12), Amine Gouiri (10).

Counter-press: losing it, by where

lost inlosseswon back within 5sled to a shot
own third4132%24%
midfield17430%6%
final third28524%1%

When they lose it — where the damage comes

29%59 attacks · 13 shots · 1.0 xG34%21 attacks · 9 shots · 1.2 xG37%55 attacks · 13 shots · 1.3 xG

16.9 opponent attacks per match after winning the ball in open play that broke forward fast or reached the final third. Shading and % = share of the xG they produced, by the channel they used. Marseille's goal is on the left. Central attacks carry more xG for every team, so compare with Marseille's own attacking xG in the same kind of channel (centre, or the average flank): right 37% conceded vs 33% own, centre 34% conceded vs 33% own, left 29% conceded vs 33% own.

Right
Centre
Left

Transition types

Every real turnover, named by the situation it came from. "Fast" = the side with the ball reached the final third within 10 seconds. Only real turnovers appear here: for everything the press wins high, including restarts it forced into an error, see "Every ball won in the opponent’s third" in the press section.

When they win the ball

typetimessharefastshotxG
Won high from a settled build-up (press)418%lg 5%49%7%lg 12%0.2
Won after their long possession (10+ passes)6212%lg 11%19%0%lg 3%0.0
Won straight back after losing it (counter-press)6312%lg 12%40%10%lg 6%0.6
Won by stopping their counter255%lg 4%12%4%lg 0%0.2
Won in midfield13526%lg 24%46%7%lg 6%0.7
Won deep in own third15831%lg 37%12%3%lg 3%0.4
Won from their set piece316%lg 5%23%0%lg 0%0.0

When they lose the ball

typetimesshareopponent fastshot againstxG
Lost in own build-up under pressure387%lg 5%47%16%lg 8%0.6
Lost after own long possession (10+ passes)9717%lg 11%13%3%lg 3%0.3
Lost straight after winning it5710%lg 12%32%12%lg 7%0.7
Lost during own counter244%lg 4%17%8%lg 0%0.1
Lost in midfield13725%lg 25%33%11%lg 7%1.6
Lost in the final third (attack broke down)18433%lg 36%12%4%lg 3%0.5
Lost from own set piece204%lg 5%20%0%lg 3%0.0

Possessions and turnovers in detailsub-categories

Every controlled possession is typed by how it was played, and every real turnover (a possession that was established and then lost) by what the losing side was doing, how it lost the ball and what the winner did next. "Settled" = sustained or worked possessions; "unsettled" = short, second-ball, counter and direct possessions.

22%of their turnovers the opponent turns into a fast attack · league 24%
50%Lost balls the opponent can’t keep · league 48%
5%of balls lost from settled possession lead to a shot against · league 4%
10%of balls lost from unsettled possession lead to a shot against · league 5%
29%of the balls they win become a fast attack · league 22%
5%of the balls they win produce a shot · league 5%

How they play their possessions (698 controlled open-play possessions)

typetimesshareended in a shotavg passes
sustained circulation (10+ passes)13820%lg 13%12%lg 12%16.0
worked possession (4-9 passes)20429%lg 29%9%lg 9%6.0
direct attack7110%lg 11%1%lg 3%1.6
short possession (0-3 passes)11917%lg 22%1%1.6

When they lose the ball (557 turnovers) — their rest defence

the side losing it was in…timesfast attacksecuredlost straight backcan’t keep itshotxGhow it was lost
sustained circulation (10+ passes)10014%17%8%49%4%0.4pass cut out 61, bad touch 16
worked possession (4-9 passes)16423%7%7%51%6%0.9pass cut out 97, long ball lost 26
direct attack5638%12%5%39%14%0.7pass cut out 23, long ball lost 22
short possession (0-3 passes)10525%9%7%55%10%1.0pass cut out 45, long ball lost 21
second-ball possession7520%17%5%49%7%0.7pass cut out 38, bad touch 13
counter / fast transition3716%14%14%49%5%0.1pass cut out 19, bad touch 7
set piece2020%10%15%50%0%0.0pass cut out 11, bad touch 5

How they lose it

mechanismtimesshareled to a shot against
pass cut out29453%lg 53%6%
long ball lost9918%lg 20%4%
bad touch8515%lg 14%11%
failed dribble387%lg 6%8%
tackled / dispossessed377%lg 6%8%

When they win the ball (515 turnovers) — what they do with it

the opponent was in…timesfast attacksecuredlost straight backcan’t keep itshotxGhow it was lost
sustained circulation (10+ passes)6420%9%3%59%0%0.0pass cut out 43, long ball lost 14
worked possession (4-9 passes)13032%14%6%41%6%0.6pass cut out 71, long ball lost 23
direct attack5726%26%9%37%2%0.1pass cut out 23, long ball lost 22
short possession (0-3 passes)13235%13%4%45%8%1.0pass cut out 58, long ball lost 29
second-ball possession7030%6%14%43%4%0.3pass cut out 31, long ball lost 16
counter / fast transition3113%19%10%55%3%0.2pass cut out 19, bad touch 6
set piece3123%6%3%61%0%0.0pass cut out 21, long ball lost 8

Fast attack = their final third or box reached within 10s. Secured = kept 10s+ or 4+ passes. Lost straight back = controlled, then lost within 5s. Can’t keep it = won the ball but never got it under control (cleared it, headed it away, blocked it or lost it at once).

Phase by phase: the typessub-categories

Each phase split into the situations it is made of, every row with its league median and clips. Shots are their own category: a possession that ends in a shot has finished, it has not lost the ball.

Build-up: how it starts and how it gets out (213 build-ups)

typetimessharegot outreached the boxlost in build-upshot
from the keeper / goal kick, played out short4119%lg 18%80%22%20%5%
from the keeper / goal kick, went long (bypass)2411%lg 10%33%12%50%4%
from the keeper / goal kick, stuck / recycled115%0%9%45%9%
from the back line, played out short2411%lg 10%83%25%4%12%
from the back line, went long (bypass)105%lg 4%30%20%60%0%
from the back line, stuck / recycled126%0%8%33%0%
from a throw-in, played out short178%lg 6%76%12%24%6%
from a throw-in, stuck / recycled52%0%0%80%0%
straight after winning it, played out short3516%lg 18%71%17%29%9%
straight after winning it, went long (bypass)168%lg 8%75%25%19%12%
straight after winning it, stuck / recycled147%0%7%50%14%

Their press: what happens to every opponent build-up (192)

outcometimesshareopponent shot
won it high3116%lg 11%3%
forced long, then won it back3719%lg 19%0%
forced long, they kept it105%lg 6%20%
they played through short6534%lg 38%14%
kept them stuck (recycled back)4926%lg 26%10%

Won high = the ball won in the opponent's own third. Forced long = the opponent left its third with a long ball (then either lost it in that possession, or kept it).

Chance creation: what created their shots

created byshotsshare of open playxGxG per shotgoals
cross1013%lg 13%1.60.16lg 0.102
cutback79%lg 6%1.10.16lg 0.100
short pass / combination3851%lg 49%3.20.09lg 0.085
long ball57%lg 5%0.30.06lg 0.070
individual (dribble / self-made)1013%lg 10%0.80.08lg 0.103
rebound / second ball57%lg 10%0.50.09lg 0.101
corner (set piece)17–0.90.062
free kick (indirect) (set piece)7–0.80.123
direct free kick (set piece)1–0.00.030
penalty (set piece)3–2.40.792

Chances they concede: what created the opponent's shots

created byshotssharexGxG per shotgoals
cross1918%lg 13%1.60.081
cutback98%lg 6%1.00.120
through ball11%lg 3%0.20.200
short pass / combination4845%lg 50%5.00.101
long ball1211%lg 6%0.90.071
individual (dribble / self-made)109%lg 11%0.80.081
rebound / second ball87%lg 10%1.10.142
corner (set piece)9–0.50.051
free kick (indirect) (set piece)7–0.50.082
direct free kick (set piece)1–0.00.030
throw-in (set piece)5–1.20.241
penalty (set piece)3–2.40.793

How their shots end

endingshotsshare
goal1616%lg 10%
keeper held it1010%lg 12%
keeper parried it1010%lg 12%
blocked2525%lg 23%
off target3737%lg 39%
hit the woodwork22%

Penalties excluded. A "save" by an outfield player is a block.

Keeper transitions

After their keeper held a shot (18), median release 11s; league share turned into a fast attack 8%:

their keeper held it, then…timesshare
keeper released fast -> fast attack16%
keeper released quickly, no fast attack528%
keeper slowed the game1267%

After their own shot was held by the opponent keeper (10); league share broken against fast 8%:

the opponent keeper held it, then…timesshare
keeper released fast -> fast attack110%
keeper released quickly, no fast attack00%
keeper slowed the game990%

Fast = the keeper's side reached its final third within 15s of the save. Quick = first pass within 6s.

When it breaks downevery phase

The other half of each phase above. Their own phases break down when they lose the ball (real turnovers only); their press and block break down when the opponent gets through. Each card: how often, how, where, who is involved, and what it costs them.

Build-up breaks down

111 balls lost in 424 build-up phases (26%)

giveaways per 10 build-up phases: 2.5/10 · league 2.6/10

How
  • long ball lost52
  • pass cut out35
  • tackled / dispossessed9
  • bad touch9
Where
  • left wing30
  • centre23
  • right wing21
  • left half-space19
Who
  • Jeffrey de Lange21
  • Emerson18
  • CJ Egan-Riley13
  • Nayef Aguerd11

What it costs: 36% turned into a fast attack · 50% the opponent can’t keep · 13% led to a shot · 1.4 xG

Progression breaks down

198 balls lost in 639 middle-third phases (31%)

giveaways per 10 middle-third phases: 2.8/10 · league 2.8/10

How
  • pass cut out109
  • bad touch34
  • long ball lost30
  • tackled / dispossessed12
Where
  • left wing54
  • left half-space38
  • right wing38
  • centre36
Who
  • Igor Paixão31
  • Amine Harit24
  • Emerson24
  • Amine Gouiri19

What it costs: 28% turned into a fast attack · 40% the opponent can’t keep · 8% led to a shot · 1.7 xG

Final third breaks down

225 balls lost in 490 final-third phases (46%)

deliveries into the box that fail to arrive: 47% · league 56%

How
  • pass cut out144
  • bad touch38
  • failed dribble21
  • tackled / dispossessed15
Where
  • centre98
  • left half-space42
  • right half-space32
  • left wing32
Who
  • Amine Harit38
  • Amine Gouiri34
  • Igor Paixão24
  • Emerson24

What it costs: 10% turned into a fast attack · 60% the opponent can’t keep · 4% led to a shot · 0.6 xG

43 deliveries into the box did not arrive

Counter-attacks fail

37 of 57 counter-attacks lost (65%)

attacking transitions that produce a shot: 18% · league 17%

How
  • pass cut out19
  • bad touch7
  • tackled / dispossessed4
  • failed dribble4
Where
  • centre15
  • left half-space11
  • right half-space4
  • left wing4
Who
  • Amine Gouiri10
  • Amine Harit6
  • Igor Paixão4
  • Emerson4

What it costs: 16% turned into a fast attack · 49% the opponent can’t keep · 5% led to a shot · 0.1 xG

57 counters: 12 ended in a shot, 37 were lost, 8 slowed down or went out

Their press is beaten

79 of 170 opponent build-ups got out (46%)

opponent build-ups that get out cleanly: 46% · league 49%

How
  • short pass46
  • carry13
  • long ball13
Where
  • left wing17
  • left half-space15
  • centre15
  • right wing13
Who
  • full-back21
  • centre-back20
  • central midfielder16
  • goalkeeper11

What it costs: 38% reached the final third · 15% led to a shot · 1.0 xG

Sides are their own: "down the left" = down their left.

Their block is broken

139 box entries in 425 opponent final-third phases (33%)

opponent final-third phases that create: 55% · league 48%

How
  • carry73
  • short pass30
  • cross21
  • dribble7
Where
  • centre41
  • left half-space34
  • right half-space29
  • right wing22
Who
  • winger48
  • full-back25
  • striker18
  • wide midfielder17

What it costs: 53% led to a shot · 9.3 xG

Sides are their own.

Set pieces backfire

20 set pieces lost in open play

How
  • pass cut out11
  • bad touch5
  • long ball lost3
  • tackled / dispossessed1
Where
  • left wing6
  • centre5
  • right half-space5
  • left half-space3
Who
  • Amine Gouiri4
  • Amine Harit3
  • Emerson3
  • Angel Gomes2

What it costs: 20% turned into a fast attack · 50% the opponent can’t keep · 0% led to a shot · 0.0 xG

Their corners and free kicks that were lost in open play, and what the opponent did next.

Set piecesattacking corners

35corners (4.4 per match)
14%end in a shot
0.3xG from corners

Delivery

  • near post34%shot 0% · 0.0 xG
  • central31%shot 27% · 0.2 xG
  • far post26%shot 11% · 0.0 xG
  • short9%shot 33% · 0.0 xG

Who

Takers: Amine Harit (14), Emerson (7), Igor Paixão (6)

First contact in the box: Amine Gouiri (1), Keyliane Abdallah (1), Derek Cornelius (1), Nouhoum Kamissoko (1), Nayef Aguerd (1)

Key players

What each player does in the phases, counted over the window. Only lines that clear a minimum count are shown.

Timothy WeahFB
  • takes it into the final third 23 times (48% become a chance)
  • gets it into the box 14 times (43% end in a shot)
Pierre-Emile HøjbjergCM
  • takes it into the final third 25 times (44% become a chance)
Amine GouiriST
  • gets it into the box 20 times (35% end in a shot)
  • 17 shots, 3.2 npxG, 5 goals
  • 15 ball wins high up the pitch
Amine HaritW
  • gets it into the box 21 times (29% end in a shot)
  • 63 giveaways, 3 led to an opponent shot
Igor PaixãoW
  • gets it into the box 12 times (17% end in a shot)
  • 15 shots, 1.2 npxG, 2 goals
  • 16 ball wins high up the pitch
Himad AbdelliCM
  • takes it into the final third 19 times (37% become a chance)
EmersonFB
  • plays 15 build-up exits (40% carry on cleanly)
  • takes it into the final third 17 times (29% become a chance)
CJ Egan-RileyCB
  • plays 31 build-up exits (74% carry on cleanly)
Keyliane AbdallahW
  • gets it into the box 16 times (25% end in a shot)

Where a player changes the outcome (p<0.05)

Against the leaguesupporting evidence

The comparison behind the report: each behaviour as a rate per opportunity, ranked among the 18 Ligue 1 clubs' full seasons, with how many of the 8 matches sat on the same side of the league median. "Style" is never a verdict.

behaviourMarseilleleague medianrankmatches
weaknessballs lost from an unsettled possession that led to an opponent shot10%5%1 / 186/8
styleunderlap per 100 progression phases3.8/1001.7/1001 / 185/8
weaknessgiveaways that led to an opponent shot within 15s5%3%1 / 186/8
weaknessbuild-up giveaways that led to an opponent shot within 15s12%7%1 / 185/8
stylecut inside per 100 final third phases4.1/1002.0/1002 / 187/8
weaknessopponent final-third phases that created55%48%1 / 188/8
strengthballs won from a settled opponent possession turned into a fast attack28%19%2 / 186/8
strengthshots scored16%10%1 / 185/8
stylefinal-third entries with a long ball15%23%18 / 186/8
stylecontrolled possessions that are short possessions (0-3 passes)17%22%17 / 186/8
styleopen-play shots conceded from long balls11%6%1 / 186/8
strengthturnovers won that were turned into a fast attack (final third within 10s)29%22%2 / 187/8
styleturnovers won deep in the own third31%37%17 / 187/8
stylebox entries from the half-spaces65%52%2 / 188/8
strengthbuild-ups straight after a regain that got out57%44%2 / 186/8
stylehigh-press regains triggered by a long ball15%6%1 / 185/8
Their most dangerous routes
phaseroutetimesshottheir average
How they change against different opponents
splitbehaviourabp
against the more aggressive pressers vs the deeper / passive sideshigh-press regains4.5/match8.5/match0.0005
when leading vs when levelgiveaways regained within 5s (counter-press)20%30%0.0286
when trailing vs when levelmiddle-third phases that progressed into the final third84%68%0.0158
second half vs first halfbox entries by carrying it in49%67%0.0452
The 8 matches
dateopponentresultnpxGopponent presswhat happened
2026-08-21vs StrasbourgW 4-01.1–0.3sat deep / passiveWon 4-0, chances 1.09 v 0.26 xG. Strasbourg defended deep and let them have the ball (strict PPDA 29.4, league median 14.4). Biggest departure from their norm: opponent final-third phases that created 64%, far above their usual 56%.
2026-08-30at MonacoL 0-21.4–1.0sat deep / passiveLost 0-2 and the chances agreed (1.38 v 1.00 xG). Monaco defended deep and let them have the ball (strict PPDA 20.3, league median 14.4) and went long on 50% of their own build-ups. Biggest departure from their norm: giveaways that led to an opponent shot within 15s 0%, far below their usual 5%.
2026-09-06vs Paris FCL 2-31.2–2.1sat deep / passiveLost 2-3 and the chances agreed (1.23 v 2.07 xG). Paris FC defended deep and let them have the ball (strict PPDA 25.0, league median 14.4). Biggest departure from their norm: build-ups that carried on into the next third under control 71%, far above their usual 54%.
2026-09-11at RennesL 0-11.1–1.7mid-intensity pressLost 0-1 and the chances agreed (1.08 v 1.73 xG). Rennes pressed at roughly league-average intensity (strict PPDA 14.3, league median 14.4). Biggest departure from their norm: counter-attacks 10.0/match, far above their usual 6.1/match.
2026-09-20vs PSGL 1-21.5–4.3sat deep / passiveLost 1-2 and the chances agreed (1.55 v 4.30 xG). PSG defended deep and let them have the ball (strict PPDA 20.5, league median 14.4). Biggest departure from their norm: PPDA, strict (opponent passes in their own 60% per committed ball-winning action) 28.3, far above their usual 14.8.
2026-10-11at TroyesW 2-00.4–0.9sat deep / passiveWon 2-0 on fewer chances (0.37 v 0.92 xG). Troyes defended deep and let them have the ball (strict PPDA 24.8, league median 14.4). Biggest departure from their norm: final-third entries by carrying it in 8%, far below their usual 21%.
2026-10-18at AngersW 5-21.7–0.9mid-intensity pressWon 5-2, chances 1.67 v 0.92 xG. Angers pressed at roughly league-average intensity (strict PPDA 16.8, league median 14.4). Biggest departure from their norm: box entries with a cross 20%, far above their usual 10%.
2026-10-25vs Le HavreW 4-31.0–1.6sat deep / passiveWon 4-3 on fewer chances (0.97 v 1.56 xG). Le Havre defended deep and let them have the ball (strict PPDA 22.2, league median 14.4). Biggest departure from their norm: final-third phases that created (box entry or key pass) 33%, far below their usual 44%.

Method and limits

◀ Tactical Analyst
Vision AI · building report