Nice — opposition report

Ligue 1 2026/27 · 8 matches (2026-08-22 to 2026-10-23) · W3 D2 L3 · goals 8–10 · npxG 7.1–9.3 · WhoScored event data, every sequence rebuilt from the raw feed

Early season: built from 8 league matches. League ranks and splits move a lot at this stage — read them as provisional, and lean on the clips.

The short version

How to beat themgame plan

Each line is generated from a finding that cleared its evidence bar; nothing here is a generic coaching point. The grey line says what it rests on; the button opens the sequences.

Beating their press

  1. Copy the sides that escaped it: Lille got out 81% (long on 0%), Strasbourg got out 65% (long on 15%).

    Average escape rate against them is 47%.

Transitions

  1. When you win it, go straight through the middle immediately.

    33% of the xG they concede after losing the ball comes straight through the middle (34 attacks, 7 shots), against 20% of their own attacking xG through that channel.

Set pieces

  1. Avoid conceding corners; mark Antoine Mendy first.

    23% of their corners end in a shot; first contacts: Antoine Mendy (2), Jonathan Clauss (2), Mohamed Abdelmonem (2).

Shape and structurein possession, by phase

Where each player takes the ball in each phase of their possession, and who passes to whom. Event data has no off-ball positions, so this is the shape of their touches — the standard event-data proxy. A phase is defined by where the ball is, so the dots sit inside that phase's third (shaded): read the order and the width, not the depth of each line. Nice attack left to right.

Yéhvann Diouf → Youssouf Ndayishimiye: 91Youssouf Ndayishimiye → Yéhvann Diouf: 79Xavier Mandza → Yéhvann Diouf: 65Yéhvann Diouf → Xavier Mandza: 47Youssouf Ndayishimiye → Mohamed Abdelmonem: 40Mohamed Abdelmonem → Youssouf Ndayishimiye: 34Yéhvann Diouf (GK) -- 339 touchesY. DioufYoussouf Ndayishimiye (CB) -- 282 touchesY. NdayishimiyeXavier Mandza (FB) -- 223 touchesX. MandzaMohamed Abdelmonem (FB) -- 153 touchesM. AbdelmonemAxel Witsel / Djibril Coulibaly (CM) -- 139 touchesA. Witsel / D. CoulibalyJonathan Clauss (WM) -- 76 touchesJ. ClaussNiels Nkounkou (WM) -- 55 touchesN. NkounkouGauthier Hein (AM) -- 42 touchesG. Hein

attacking → · shaded = the build-up zone

Most involved
  • Yéhvann Diouf56% of build-up phases
  • Youssouf Ndayishimiye45% of build-up phases
  • Xavier Mandza35% of build-up phases
  • Mohamed Abdelmonem26% of build-up phases
Main connections
  • Yéhvann Diouf → Youssouf Ndayishimiye91
  • Youssouf Ndayishimiye → Yéhvann Diouf79
  • Xavier Mandza → Yéhvann Diouf65
  • Yéhvann Diouf → Xavier Mandza47
  • Youssouf Ndayishimiye → Mohamed Abdelmonem40
  • Mohamed Abdelmonem → Youssouf Ndayishimiye34

431 build-up phases. Dot = the median spot of a player's touches in this phase; size = share of touches; lines = consecutive touches between two players.

Their pressout of possession

30defensive actions per match in the opponent's final 40%
47%of opponent build-ups got out into the next third
5.1high regains per match
21%of those regains led to a shot

Who presses

  • Djibril Coulibaly25
  • Niels Nkounkou24
  • Mohammed Amoura21
  • Sofiane Diop20
  • Axel Witsel20
  • Jonathan Clauss18

Tackles, interceptions, recoveries, blocks, challenges and fouls in the opponent's final 40%.

Every ball won in the opponent's third, by source

195 in the window. The press on a build-up = the first two rows: 31 (3.9 a match).

sourcetimesshareper matchshot
press: settled build-up taken off them2814%3.511%
press: their restart forced into an error before they settled32%0.40%
counter-press: won straight back after losing it158%1.913%
second ball: the opponent touched it but never controlled it14976%18.629%
↳ rebound after their own shot (saved or blocked)189%2.239%
↳ their cross / ball into the box, cleared7941%9.930%
↳ their long ball, only headed or touched away116%1.427%
↳ after their own throw-in / set piece74%0.914%
↳ loose ball in their combination play (pass blocked or tackled)3417%4.224%

What triggers a regain

opponent wasshareleaguerank
passing forward34%23%4 / 18
dribbling or a loose touch24%28%13 / 18
passing to a full-back20%16%6 / 18
going long7%6%8 / 18
passing sideways2%7%16 / 18
passing to the keeper2%2%6 / 18
taking a throw-in2%4%11 / 18
passing back0%2%11 / 18
a loose ball0%0%1 / 18

Who got out, and how

0%25%50%75%100%0%25%50%75%share of build-ups that went longgot out of the pressLille: got out 81%, went long 0% (16 build-ups)LilleStrasbourg: got out 65%, went long 15% (26 build-ups)StrasbourgParis FC: got out 53%, went long 15% (34 build-ups)Paris FCLe Mans: got out 36%, went long 36% (25 build-ups)Lorient: got out 35%, went long 12% (17 build-ups)Brest: got out 33%, went long 38% (24 build-ups)Lyon: got out 31%, went long 25% (16 build-ups)Auxerre: got out 29%, went long 29% (14 build-ups)

The opponents who went long most (32% of build-ups) got out 32% of the time; those who mostly played short (10% long) got out 59%. That is a real difference (p=0.0073).

Best escapes: Lille 81%; Strasbourg 65%; Paris FC 53%. One dot per match; hover for the opponent.

Transitions

When they win it

14.0fast attacks per match (counters, high transitions, high ball-wins)
13%end in a shot

Most often started by Niels Nkounkou (18), Xavier Mandza (14), Youssouf Ndayishimiye (14), Jonathan Clauss (12).

Counter-press: losing it, by where

lost inlosseswon back within 5sled to a shot
own third4330%16%
midfield18422%6%
final third31727%0%

When they lose it — where the damage comes

20%53 attacks · 4 shots · 0.2 xG33%34 attacks · 7 shots · 0.4 xG47%46 attacks · 7 shots · 0.5 xG

16.6 opponent attacks per match after winning the ball in open play that broke forward fast or reached the final third. Shading and % = share of the xG they produced, by the channel they used. Nice's goal is on the left. Central attacks carry more xG for every team, so compare with Nice's own attacking xG in the same kind of channel (centre, or the average flank): right 47% conceded vs 40% own, centre 33% conceded vs 20% own, left 20% conceded vs 40% own.

Right
Centre
Left

Transition types

Every real turnover, named by the situation it came from. "Fast" = the side with the ball reached the final third within 10 seconds. Only real turnovers appear here: for everything the press wins high, including restarts it forced into an error, see "Every ball won in the opponent’s third" in the press section.

When they win the ball

typetimessharefastshotxG
Won high from a settled build-up (press)254%lg 5%48%12%lg 7%0.4
Won after their long possession (10+ passes)7012%lg 11%16%1%lg 3%0.2
Won straight back after losing it (counter-press)8014%lg 12%34%5%lg 6%0.2
Won by stopping their counter356%lg 4%34%3%lg 0%0.1
Won in midfield13323%lg 25%44%5%lg 7%0.5
Won deep in own third19834%lg 37%16%2%lg 3%0.2
Won from their set piece346%lg 5%9%0%lg 0%0.0

When they lose the ball

typetimesshareopponent fastshot againstxG
Lost in own build-up under pressure376%lg 5%51%16%lg 8%0.4
Lost after own long possession (10+ passes)9416%lg 11%21%2%lg 3%0.1
Lost straight after winning it5910%lg 12%42%7%lg 7%0.2
Lost during own counter386%lg 4%5%0%lg 3%0.0
Lost in midfield13222%lg 25%33%5%lg 7%0.4
Lost in the final third (attack broke down)21136%lg 36%13%1%lg 3%0.4
Lost from own set piece224%lg 5%14%0%lg 3%0.0

Possessions and turnovers in detailsub-categories

Every controlled possession is typed by how it was played, and every real turnover (a possession that was established and then lost) by what the losing side was doing, how it lost the ball and what the winner did next. "Settled" = sustained or worked possessions; "unsettled" = short, second-ball, counter and direct possessions.

24%of their turnovers the opponent turns into a fast attack · league 23%
48%Lost balls the opponent can’t keep · league 48%
4%of balls lost from settled possession lead to a shot against · league 5%
4%of balls lost from unsettled possession lead to a shot against · league 5%
27%of the balls they win become a fast attack · league 22%
3%of the balls they win produce a shot · league 5%

How they play their possessions (728 controlled open-play possessions)

typetimesshareended in a shotavg passes
sustained circulation (10+ passes)12117%lg 13%3%lg 12%14.4
worked possession (4-9 passes)23132%lg 29%9%lg 9%6.0
direct attack8011%lg 11%2%lg 3%1.5
short possession (0-3 passes)11015%lg 22%4%1.7

When they lose the ball (593 turnovers) — their rest defence

the side losing it was in…timesfast attacksecuredlost straight backcan’t keep itshotxGhow it was lost
sustained circulation (10+ passes)9822%9%9%51%2%0.1pass cut out 60, long ball lost 20
worked possession (4-9 passes)17822%15%12%47%5%0.8pass cut out 92, long ball lost 54
direct attack6133%20%7%33%2%0.1long ball lost 33, pass cut out 20
short possession (0-3 passes)9337%8%5%46%9%0.4pass cut out 41, bad touch 20
second-ball possession9320%13%11%51%2%0.2pass cut out 51, long ball lost 21
counter / fast transition484%12%12%62%0%0.0pass cut out 33, bad touch 8
set piece2214%14%14%45%0%0.0pass cut out 9, long ball lost 9

How they lose it

mechanismtimesshareled to a shot against
pass cut out30652%lg 53%2%
long ball lost15426%lg 20%1%
bad touch6311%lg 14%6%
failed dribble366%lg 6%3%
tackled / dispossessed285%lg 6%11%
error61%100%

When they win the ball (575 turnovers) — what they do with it

the opponent was in…timesfast attacksecuredlost straight backcan’t keep itshotxGhow it was lost
sustained circulation (10+ passes)7218%15%12%47%1%0.2pass cut out 37, long ball lost 15
worked possession (4-9 passes)14824%19%5%45%4%0.6pass cut out 77, long ball lost 33
direct attack6635%20%9%30%2%0.1long ball lost 29, pass cut out 25
short possession (0-3 passes)11536%9%3%48%4%0.3pass cut out 61, long ball lost 19
second-ball possession9227%8%7%55%4%0.3pass cut out 57, long ball lost 15
counter / fast transition4831%15%6%42%2%0.1pass cut out 30, bad touch 6
set piece349%6%9%68%0%0.0pass cut out 19, long ball lost 12

Fast attack = their final third or box reached within 10s. Secured = kept 10s+ or 4+ passes. Lost straight back = controlled, then lost within 5s. Can’t keep it = won the ball but never got it under control (cleared it, headed it away, blocked it or lost it at once).

Phase by phase: the typessub-categories

Each phase split into the situations it is made of, every row with its league median and clips. Shots are their own category: a possession that ends in a shot has finished, it has not lost the ball.

Build-up: how it starts and how it gets out (230 build-ups)

typetimessharegot outreached the boxlost in build-upshot
from the keeper / goal kick, played out short4218%lg 19%67%10%31%5%
from the keeper / goal kick, went long (bypass)3113%lg 10%26%13%65%3%
from the keeper / goal kick, stuck / recycled157%0%7%60%0%
from the back line, played out short167%lg 10%75%12%31%0%
from the back line, went long (bypass)94%lg 4%22%0%56%0%
from the back line, stuck / recycled52%0%0%60%0%
from a throw-in, played out short136%lg 6%62%8%31%0%
from a throw-in, went long (bypass)104%lg 2%30%0%70%0%
from a throw-in, stuck / recycled52%0%0%40%0%
straight after winning it, played out short5423%lg 18%63%26%33%0%
straight after winning it, went long (bypass)209%lg 8%40%10%50%5%
straight after winning it, stuck / recycled104%0%10%40%0%

Their press: what happens to every opponent build-up (195)

outcometimesshareopponent shot
won it high2312%lg 11%0%
forced long, then won it back3920%lg 19%0%
forced long, they kept it21%lg 6%0%
they played through short7941%lg 36%6%
kept them stuck (recycled back)5227%lg 26%0%

Won high = the ball won in the opponent's own third. Forced long = the opponent left its third with a long ball (then either lost it in that possession, or kept it).

Chance creation: what created their shots

created byshotsshare of open playxGxG per shotgoals
cross1217%lg 13%1.30.11lg 0.101
cutback69%lg 6%0.60.10lg 0.100
through ball34%lg 1%0.50.16lg 0.191
short pass / combination3449%lg 50%2.40.07lg 0.083
long ball11%lg 6%0.10.07lg 0.070
individual (dribble / self-made)69%lg 10%0.40.07lg 0.100
rebound / second ball710%lg 10%0.70.10lg 0.090
corner (set piece)21–1.10.051
free kick (indirect) (set piece)1–0.00.040
direct free kick (set piece)1–0.00.020

Chances they concede: what created the opponent's shots

created byshotssharexGxG per shotgoals
cross811%lg 13%0.90.110
cutback46%lg 6%0.40.091
through ball34%lg 3%0.60.212
short pass / combination3347%lg 50%2.40.073
long ball46%lg 6%0.60.150
individual (dribble / self-made)1420%lg 9%1.20.091
rebound / second ball46%lg 10%1.00.251
corner (set piece)12–1.40.110
free kick (indirect) (set piece)11–0.80.071
direct free kick (set piece)1–0.00.020
throw-in (set piece)1–0.00.040
penalty (set piece)2–1.60.791

How their shots end

endingshotsshare
goal67%lg 10%
keeper held it910%lg 12%
keeper parried it1112%lg 12%
blocked2426%lg 23%
off target3942%lg 38%
hit the woodwork33%

Penalties excluded. A "save" by an outfield player is a block.

Keeper transitions

After their keeper held a shot (11), median release 10s; league share turned into a fast attack 7%:

their keeper held it, then…timesshare
keeper released fast -> fast attack218%
keeper released quickly, no fast attack218%
keeper slowed the game764%

After their own shot was held by the opponent keeper (9); league share broken against fast 8%:

the opponent keeper held it, then…timesshare
keeper released fast -> fast attack111%
keeper released quickly, no fast attack111%
keeper slowed the game778%

Fast = the keeper's side reached its final third within 15s of the save. Quick = first pass within 6s.

When it breaks downevery phase

The other half of each phase above. Their own phases break down when they lose the ball (real turnovers only); their press and block break down when the opponent gets through. Each card: how often, how, where, who is involved, and what it costs them.

Build-up breaks down

156 balls lost in 431 build-up phases (36%)

giveaways per 10 build-up phases: 3.3/10 · league 2.5/10

How
  • long ball lost89
  • pass cut out45
  • failed dribble7
  • bad touch6
Where
  • centre40
  • right half-space35
  • left wing34
  • left half-space27
Who
  • Yéhvann Diouf50
  • Youssouf Ndayishimiye23
  • Xavier Mandza23
  • Mohamed Abdelmonem11

What it costs: 40% turned into a fast attack · 37% the opponent can’t keep · 6% led to a shot · 0.5 xG

Progression breaks down

189 balls lost in 605 middle-third phases (31%)

giveaways per 10 middle-third phases: 2.8/10 · league 2.8/10

How
  • pass cut out95
  • long ball lost42
  • bad touch27
  • tackled / dispossessed14
Where
  • left wing47
  • right wing42
  • centre37
  • right half-space35
Who
  • Gauthier Hein26
  • Jonathan Clauss25
  • Xavier Mandza22
  • Niels Nkounkou19

What it costs: 28% turned into a fast attack · 40% the opponent can’t keep · 5% led to a shot · 0.6 xG

Final third breaks down

216 balls lost in 465 final-third phases (46%)

deliveries into the box that fail to arrive: 56% · league 56%

How
  • pass cut out153
  • bad touch25
  • failed dribble18
  • long ball lost12
Where
  • centre76
  • right half-space50
  • left half-space42
  • left wing25
Who
  • Jonathan Clauss49
  • Niels Nkounkou26
  • Mohammed Amoura25
  • Gauthier Hein23

What it costs: 8% turned into a fast attack · 63% the opponent can’t keep · 1% led to a shot · 0.5 xG

73 deliveries into the box did not arrive

Counter-attacks fail

48 of 63 counter-attacks lost (76%)

attacking transitions that produce a shot: 13% · league 17%

How
  • pass cut out33
  • bad touch8
  • failed dribble5
  • long ball lost1
Where
  • right half-space16
  • left half-space14
  • centre10
  • left wing6
Who
  • Jonathan Clauss7
  • Mohammed Amoura7
  • Niels Nkounkou7
  • Elye Wahi6

What it costs: 4% turned into a fast attack · 62% the opponent can’t keep · 0% led to a shot · 0.0 xG

63 counters: 9 ended in a shot, 48 were lost, 6 slowed down or went out

Their press is beaten

80 of 172 opponent build-ups got out (47%)

opponent build-ups that get out cleanly: 47% · league 49%

How
  • short pass53
  • carry16
  • long ball10
Where
  • left half-space18
  • right wing17
  • right half-space17
  • centre14
Who
  • centre-back28
  • full-back22
  • goalkeeper12
  • central midfielder11

What it costs: 25% reached the final third · 5% led to a shot · 0.3 xG

Sides are their own: "down the left" = down their left.

Their block is broken

100 box entries in 408 opponent final-third phases (25%)

opponent final-third phases that create: 45% · league 48%

How
  • carry62
  • short pass14
  • cross11
  • dribble8
Where
  • right half-space30
  • centre29
  • left half-space23
  • left wing11
Who
  • winger35
  • striker17
  • full-back16
  • central midfielder13

What it costs: 37% led to a shot · 5.2 xG

Sides are their own.

Set pieces backfire

22 set pieces lost in open play

How
  • pass cut out9
  • long ball lost9
  • bad touch4
Where
  • right half-space9
  • centre6
  • left wing4
  • right wing2
Who
  • Yéhvann Diouf5
  • Gauthier Hein4
  • Jonathan Clauss3
  • Youssouf Ndayishimiye3

What it costs: 14% turned into a fast attack · 45% the opponent can’t keep · 0% led to a shot · 0.0 xG

Their corners and free kicks that were lost in open play, and what the opponent did next.

Set piecesattacking corners

47corners (5.9 per match)
23%end in a shot
0.8xG from corners

Delivery

  • near post40%shot 11% · 0.2 xG
  • central38%shot 28% · 0.5 xG
  • far post13%shot 17% · 0.0 xG
  • short9%shot 75% · 0.2 xG

Who

Takers: Jonathan Clauss (26), Gauthier Hein (16), Sofiane Diop (2)

First contact in the box: Antoine Mendy (2), Jonathan Clauss (2), Mohamed Abdelmonem (2), Mohammed Amoura (2), Djibril Coulibaly (1)

Key players

What each player does in the phases, counted over the window. Only lines that clear a minimum count are shown.

Jonathan ClaussWM
  • takes it into the final third 17 times (35% become a chance)
  • gets it into the box 27 times (44% end in a shot)
  • 17 shots, 1.2 npxG, 1 goals
Xavier MandzaFB
  • plays 34 build-up exits (41% carry on cleanly)
  • takes it into the final third 25 times (20% become a chance)
Gauthier HeinAM
  • takes it into the final third 16 times (38% become a chance)
  • gets it into the box 13 times (23% end in a shot)
Youssouf NdayishimiyeCB
  • plays 37 build-up exits (59% carry on cleanly)
Niels NkounkouWM
  • gets it into the box 14 times (29% end in a shot)
Mohamed AbdelmonemFB
  • plays 26 build-up exits (62% carry on cleanly)
  • takes it into the final third 22 times (55% become a chance)
Mohammed AmouraAM
  • gets it into the box 16 times (44% end in a shot)
Axel WitselCM
  • takes it into the final third 15 times (53% become a chance)
Elye WahiST
  • gets it into the box 13 times (46% end in a shot)

Where a player changes the outcome (p<0.05)

Against the leaguesupporting evidence

The comparison behind the report: each behaviour as a rate per opportunity, ranked among the 18 Ligue 1 clubs' full seasons, with how many of the 8 matches sat on the same side of the league median. "Style" is never a verdict.

behaviourNiceleague medianrankmatches
styleopponent build-ups forced long but kept by the opponent1%6%18 / 188/8
weaknesschance-creation phases that produced a shot27%35%18 / 187/8
weaknessbuild-ups whose possession ended in a shot1%6%18 / 187/8
stylecontrolled possessions that are short possessions (0-3 passes)15%22%18 / 188/8
strengthbuild-ups that left the own third (or went for it)87%80%1 / 188/8
weaknessmiddle-third phases whose possession ended in a shot5%8%18 / 185/8
styleturnovers lost during an own counter6%4%2 / 186/8
weaknessnon-penalty xG per final-third sequence0.01 xG0.02 xG18 / 186/8
weaknesssustained circulation (10+ passes) that ended in a shot3%12%18 / 187/8
stylebuild-ups that stayed stuck / recycled15%21%18 / 187/8
stylefinal-third entries down the right52%44%2 / 187/8
styleturnovers won by stopping a counter6%4%1 / 187/8
strengthfinal-third phases that created (box entry or key pass)52%47%2 / 186/8
styleforward drop link per 100 build up phases1.4/1002.8/10017 / 186/8
styleoverlap per 100 progression phases4.0/1002.4/1002 / 185/8
stylebox entries from the wide channels31%20%2 / 187/8
stylerun in behind per 100 final third phases8.2/1006.0/1002 / 185/8
stylecut inside per 100 final third phases0.9/1002.1/10017 / 186/8
Their most dangerous routes
phaseroutetimesshottheir average
How they change against different opponents
splitbehaviourabp
against the more aggressive pressers vs the deeper / passive sidesfinal-third entries by carrying it in40%9%0.0
against the more aggressive pressers vs the deeper / passive sidesbuild-up exits down the right28%46%0.0138
against the more aggressive pressers vs the deeper / passive sidesgiveaways regained within 5s (counter-press)21%29%0.0272
The 8 matches
dateopponentresultnpxGopponent presswhat happened
2026-08-22vs LorientD 0-00.9–1.1sat deep / passiveDrew 0-0 (0.92 v 1.13 xG). Lorient defended deep and let them have the ball (strict PPDA 22.2, league median 14.4). Biggest departure from their norm: middle-third phases that progressed into the final third 90%, far above their usual 69%.
2026-08-30at Paris FCL 0-30.9–1.4sat deep / passiveLost 0-3 and the chances agreed (0.91 v 1.42 xG). Paris FC defended deep and let them have the ball (strict PPDA 21.3, league median 14.4). Biggest departure from their norm: chance-creation phases that produced a shot 42%, far above their usual 27%.
2026-09-05vs Le MansD 1-10.6–0.7sat deep / passiveDrew 1-1 (0.62 v 0.72 xG). Le Mans defended deep and let them have the ball (strict PPDA 21.9, league median 14.4). Biggest departure from their norm: box entries with a cross 0%, far below their usual 7%.
2026-09-12at AuxerreL 0-10.8–1.3sat deep / passiveLost 0-1 and the chances agreed (0.83 v 1.29 xG). Auxerre defended deep and let them have the ball (strict PPDA 23.4, league median 14.4). Biggest departure from their norm: ball given away during build-up 21.0/match, far above their usual 17.8/match.
2026-09-20vs LilleW 2-11.1–1.7sat deep / passiveWon 2-1 on fewer chances (1.06 v 1.70 xG). Lille defended deep and let them have the ball (strict PPDA 20.5, league median 14.4). Biggest departure from their norm: opponent build-ups that got out cleanly 81%, far above their usual 46%.
2026-10-11vs StrasbourgW 2-11.1–0.8mid-intensity pressWon 2-1, chances 1.07 v 0.83 xG. Strasbourg pressed at roughly league-average intensity (strict PPDA 14.1, league median 14.4). Biggest departure from their norm: final-third phases that created (box entry or key pass) 72%, far above their usual 53%.
2026-10-18at LyonL 1-21.1–1.3mid-intensity pressLost 1-2 and the chances agreed (1.07 v 1.26 xG). Lyon pressed at roughly league-average intensity (strict PPDA 17.9, league median 14.4). Biggest departure from their norm: final-third entries by carrying it in 60%, far above their usual 23%.
2026-10-23at BrestW 2-10.6–0.9mid-intensity pressWon 2-1 on fewer chances (0.58 v 0.93 xG). Brest pressed at roughly league-average intensity (strict PPDA 16.3, league median 14.4). Biggest departure from their norm: chance-creation phases that produced a shot 15%, far below their usual 27%.

Method and limits

◀ Tactical Analyst
Vision AI · building report