Rayo Vallecano — opposition report

La Liga 2026/27 · 9 matches (2026-08-15 to 2026-10-24) · W2 D3 L4 · goals 12–20 · npxG 10.5–11.2 · WhoScored event data, every sequence rebuilt from the raw feed

Early season: built from 9 league matches. League ranks and splits move a lot at this stage — read them as provisional, and lean on the clips.

The short version

How to beat themgame plan

Each line is generated from a finding that cleared its evidence bar; nothing here is a generic coaching point. The grey line says what it rests on; the button opens the sequences.

Beating their press

  1. Copy the sides that escaped it: Espanyol got out 67% (long on 22%).

    Average escape rate against them is 50%.

Transitions

  1. When you win it, go down their left side immediately.

    44% of the xG they concede after losing the ball comes down their left side (49 attacks, 8 shots), against 33% of their own attacking xG through that channel.

Where to press

  1. Press their build-up in the right of their own third.

    Giveaways there lead to a shot 16% of the time (25 giveaways).

Set pieces

  1. Avoid conceding corners; mark Andrei Ratiu first.

    23% of their corners end in a shot; first contacts: Andrei Ratiu (2), Isi Palazón (2), Randy Nteka (2).

Shape and structurein possession, by phase

Where each player takes the ball in each phase of their possession, and who passes to whom. Event data has no off-ball positions, so this is the shape of their touches — the standard event-data proxy. A phase is defined by where the ball is, so the dots sit inside that phase's third (shaded): read the order and the width, not the depth of each line. Rayo Vallecano attack left to right.

Emil Audero → Florian Lejeune: 35Florian Lejeune → Emil Audero: 26Emil Audero → Mujaid Sadick: 22Florian Lejeune → Pathé Ciss: 21Mujaid Sadick → Emil Audero: 21Mujaid Sadick → Unai López: 19Pathé Ciss / Mujaid Sadick (CB) -- 249 touchesP. Ciss / M. SadickFlorian Lejeune (CB) -- 237 touchesF. LejeuneEmil Audero (GK) -- 170 touchesE. AuderoUnai López (CM) -- 116 touchesU. LópezAndrei Ratiu (FB) -- 82 touchesA. RatiuAdrià Pedrosa (FB) -- 62 touchesA. PedrosaÓscar Valentín (CM) -- 58 touchesÓ. ValentínIván Balliu (FB) -- 43 touchesI. BalliuÁlvaro García (W) -- 43 touchesÁ. García

attacking → · shaded = the build-up zone

Most involved
  • Florian Lejeune36% of build-up phases
  • Emil Audero26% of build-up phases
  • Pathé Ciss24% of build-up phases
  • Unai López19% of build-up phases
Main connections
  • Emil Audero → Florian Lejeune35
  • Florian Lejeune → Emil Audero26
  • Emil Audero → Mujaid Sadick22
  • Florian Lejeune → Pathé Ciss21
  • Mujaid Sadick → Emil Audero21
  • Mujaid Sadick → Unai López19

494 build-up phases. Dot = the median spot of a player's touches in this phase; size = share of touches; lines = consecutive touches between two players.

Their pressout of possession

29defensive actions per match in the opponent's final 40%
50%of opponent build-ups got out into the next third
4.3high regains per match
28%of those regains led to a shot

Who presses

  • Sergio Camello28
  • Álvaro García26
  • Pathé Ciss22
  • Unai López20
  • Pedro Díaz18
  • Florian Lejeune17

Tackles, interceptions, recoveries, blocks, challenges and fouls in the opponent's final 40%.

Every ball won in the opponent's third, by source

189 in the window. The press on a build-up = the first two rows: 34 (3.8 a match).

sourcetimesshareper matchshot
press: settled build-up taken off them3217%3.612%
press: their restart forced into an error before they settled21%0.20%
counter-press: won straight back after losing it84%0.925%
second ball: the opponent touched it but never controlled it14778%16.334%
↳ rebound after their own shot (saved or blocked)168%1.850%
↳ their cross / ball into the box, cleared6032%6.737%
↳ their long ball, only headed or touched away2212%2.414%
↳ after their own throw-in / set piece137%1.423%
↳ loose ball in their combination play (pass blocked or tackled)3619%4.039%

What triggers a regain

opponent wasshareleaguerank
dribbling or a loose touch28%26%9 / 20
passing forward21%26%15 / 20
passing to a full-back18%16%7 / 20
passing sideways13%5%4 / 20
going long13%10%7 / 20
passing to the keeper3%2%9 / 20
taking a throw-in3%2%7 / 20
passing back0%0%9 / 20
a loose ball0%0%1 / 20

Who got out, and how

0%25%50%75%100%0%25%50%75%share of build-ups that went longgot out of the pressEspanyol: got out 67%, went long 22% (18 build-ups)EspanyolAlaves: got out 58%, went long 33% (12 build-ups)AlavesSevilla: got out 56%, went long 56% (18 build-ups)SevillaOsasuna: got out 50%, went long 44% (16 build-ups)OsasunaReal Madrid: got out 48%, went long 24% (25 build-ups)Barcelona: got out 45%, went long 9% (22 build-ups)Racing Santander: got out 44%, went long 15% (27 build-ups)Getafe: got out 44%, went long 44% (9 build-ups)Elche: got out 44%, went long 20% (25 build-ups)

The opponents who went long most (40% of build-ups) got out 51% of the time; those who mostly played short (17% long) got out 50%. That is a lean, not proven at 20 matches (p=0.8528).

Best escapes: Espanyol 67%; Alaves 58%; Sevilla 56%. One dot per match; hover for the opponent.

Transitions

When they win it

12.1fast attacks per match (counters, high transitions, high ball-wins)
23%end in a shot

Most often started by Pathé Ciss (18), Álvaro García (14), Florian Lejeune (11), Pedro Díaz (11).

Counter-press: losing it, by where

lost inlosseswon back within 5sled to a shot
own third4914%12%
midfield16922%2%
final third31522%2%

When they lose it — where the damage comes

44%49 attacks · 8 shots · 1.0 xG18%28 attacks · 6 shots · 0.4 xG38%62 attacks · 6 shots · 0.9 xG

15.4 opponent attacks per match after winning the ball in open play that broke forward fast or reached the final third. Shading and % = share of the xG they produced, by the channel they used. Rayo Vallecano's goal is on the left. Central attacks carry more xG for every team, so compare with Rayo Vallecano's own attacking xG in the same kind of channel (centre, or the average flank): left 44% conceded vs 33% own, right 38% conceded vs 33% own, centre 18% conceded vs 34% own.

Left
Right
Centre

Transition types

Every real turnover, named by the situation it came from. "Fast" = the side with the ball reached the final third within 10 seconds. Only real turnovers appear here: for everything the press wins high, including restarts it forced into an error, see "Every ball won in the opponent’s third" in the press section.

When they win the ball

typetimessharefastshotxG
Won high from a settled build-up (press)345%lg 5%47%15%lg 12%0.3
Won after their long possession (10+ passes)396%lg 12%18%8%lg 3%0.3
Won straight back after losing it (counter-press)6911%lg 11%39%17%lg 7%1.0
Won by stopping their counter244%lg 4%17%4%lg 3%0.3
Won in midfield17328%lg 25%27%6%lg 7%0.7
Won deep in own third25441%lg 37%14%3%lg 3%0.6
Won from their set piece274%lg 5%19%7%lg 3%0.1

When they lose the ball

typetimesshareopponent fastshot againstxG
Lost in own build-up under pressure386%lg 5%42%21%lg 12%0.6
Lost after own long possession (10+ passes)569%lg 12%11%4%lg 4%0.1
Lost straight after winning it6912%lg 11%45%7%lg 9%0.4
Lost during own counter285%lg 4%18%11%lg 3%0.5
Lost in midfield13823%lg 25%34%7%lg 6%1.0
Lost in the final third (attack broke down)24340%lg 37%13%2%lg 3%0.5
Lost from own set piece285%lg 5%18%4%lg 4%0.1

Possessions and turnovers in detailsub-categories

Every controlled possession is typed by how it was played, and every real turnover (a possession that was established and then lost) by what the losing side was doing, how it lost the ball and what the winner did next. "Settled" = sustained or worked possessions; "unsettled" = short, second-ball, counter and direct possessions.

24%of their turnovers the opponent turns into a fast attack · league 23%
48%Lost balls the opponent can’t keep · league 49%
4%of balls lost from settled possession lead to a shot against · league 4%
6%of balls lost from unsettled possession lead to a shot against · league 5%
23%of the balls they win become a fast attack · league 23%
6%of the balls they win produce a shot · league 5%

How they play their possessions (781 controlled open-play possessions)

typetimesshareended in a shotavg passes
sustained circulation (10+ passes)8411%lg 13%15%lg 12%14.2
worked possession (4-9 passes)19825%lg 28%8%lg 10%5.9
direct attack11415%lg 13%1%lg 2%1.6
short possession (0-3 passes)17923%lg 22%6%1.4

When they lose the ball (600 turnovers) — their rest defence

the side losing it was in…timesfast attacksecuredlost straight backcan’t keep itshotxGhow it was lost
sustained circulation (10+ passes)5910%10%12%44%5%0.1pass cut out 36, long ball lost 12
worked possession (4-9 passes)14620%12%5%53%3%0.6pass cut out 77, long ball lost 33
direct attack9531%19%8%34%5%0.6long ball lost 47, pass cut out 30
short possession (0-3 passes)13532%9%7%44%7%1.0pass cut out 60, long ball lost 28
second-ball possession9922%9%5%58%2%0.1pass cut out 42, long ball lost 30
counter / fast transition3821%5%11%53%16%0.6pass cut out 24, failed dribble 7
set piece2818%7%11%54%4%0.1pass cut out 12, long ball lost 6

How they lose it

mechanismtimesshareled to a shot against
pass cut out28147%lg 48%3%
long ball lost15826%lg 22%4%
bad touch8414%lg 14%8%
failed dribble437%lg 7%5%
tackled / dispossessed295%lg 6%17%

When they win the ball (620 turnovers) — what they do with it

the opponent was in…timesfast attacksecuredlost straight backcan’t keep itshotxGhow it was lost
sustained circulation (10+ passes)3918%18%8%51%8%0.3pass cut out 23, bad touch 9
worked possession (4-9 passes)16122%14%10%50%5%0.7pass cut out 86, long ball lost 30
direct attack10731%12%5%45%8%0.5pass cut out 50, long ball lost 37
short possession (0-3 passes)14328%11%8%50%10%1.2pass cut out 70, long ball lost 29
second-ball possession10616%10%8%52%2%0.2pass cut out 56, long ball lost 18
counter / fast transition3714%5%14%57%5%0.5pass cut out 23, failed dribble 7
set piece2719%4%15%52%7%0.1pass cut out 22, long ball lost 2

Fast attack = their final third or box reached within 10s. Secured = kept 10s+ or 4+ passes. Lost straight back = controlled, then lost within 5s. Can’t keep it = won the ball but never got it under control (cleared it, headed it away, blocked it or lost it at once).

Phase by phase: the typessub-categories

Each phase split into the situations it is made of, every row with its league median and clips. Shots are their own category: a possession that ends in a shot has finished, it has not lost the ball.

Build-up: how it starts and how it gets out (206 build-ups)

typetimessharegot outreached the boxlost in build-upshot
from the keeper / goal kick, played out short4019%lg 18%82%28%18%12%
from the keeper / goal kick, went long (bypass)199%lg 12%26%16%47%11%
from the keeper / goal kick, stuck / recycled189%0%11%44%0%
from the back line, played out short2010%lg 10%60%15%35%5%
from the back line, went long (bypass)136%lg 5%23%8%77%0%
from the back line, stuck / recycled63%0%17%50%0%
from a throw-in, played out short105%lg 5%70%10%20%10%
from a throw-in, went long (bypass)63%lg 3%50%33%50%0%
straight after winning it, played out short2512%lg 17%80%24%20%4%
straight after winning it, went long (bypass)2110%lg 10%24%10%71%0%
straight after winning it, stuck / recycled2512%0%8%32%0%

Their press: what happens to every opponent build-up (191)

outcometimesshareopponent shot
won it high189%lg 9%0%
forced long, then won it back4323%lg 22%0%
forced long, they kept it105%lg 5%20%
they played through short6936%lg 38%14%
kept them stuck (recycled back)5127%lg 26%4%

Won high = the ball won in the opponent's own third. Forced long = the opponent left its third with a long ball (then either lost it in that possession, or kept it).

Chance creation: what created their shots

created byshotsshare of open playxGxG per shotgoals
cross56%lg 9%0.90.18lg 0.111
cutback1113%lg 6%1.20.11lg 0.102
through ball22%lg 4%0.50.25lg 0.241
short pass / combination4754%lg 55%2.80.06lg 0.084
long ball33%lg 5%0.10.04lg 0.070
individual (dribble / self-made)1113%lg 11%1.40.13lg 0.082
rebound / second ball89%lg 8%1.10.14lg 0.081
corner (set piece)22–1.50.071
free kick (indirect) (set piece)10–0.40.040
direct free kick (set piece)8–0.20.020
throw-in (set piece)5–0.30.070
penalty (set piece)1–0.80.790

Chances they concede: what created the opponent's shots

created byshotssharexGxG per shotgoals
cross1111%lg 9%1.30.121
cutback1212%lg 6%1.10.102
through ball11%lg 4%0.20.181
short pass / combination5655%lg 54%4.60.086
long ball66%lg 5%0.30.050
individual (dribble / self-made)99%lg 11%0.90.103
rebound / second ball66%lg 9%0.40.060
corner (set piece)18–1.00.060
free kick (indirect) (set piece)6–0.30.060
direct free kick (set piece)4–0.10.021
throw-in (set piece)10–0.90.090
penalty (set piece)5–4.00.795

How their shots end

endingshotsshare
goal129%lg 9%
keeper held it1411%lg 10%
keeper parried it1411%lg 13%
blocked3627%lg 25%
off target5441%lg 39%
hit the woodwork22%

Penalties excluded. A "save" by an outfield player is a block.

Keeper transitions

After their keeper held a shot (15), median release 8s; league share turned into a fast attack 14%:

their keeper held it, then…timesshare
keeper released fast -> fast attack320%
keeper released quickly, no fast attack533%
keeper slowed the game747%

After their own shot was held by the opponent keeper (14); league share broken against fast 17%:

the opponent keeper held it, then…timesshare
keeper released fast -> fast attack321%
keeper released quickly, no fast attack429%
keeper slowed the game750%

Fast = the keeper's side reached its final third within 15s of the save. Quick = first pass within 6s.

When it breaks downevery phase

The other half of each phase above. Their own phases break down when they lose the ball (real turnovers only); their press and block break down when the opponent gets through. Each card: how often, how, where, who is involved, and what it costs them.

Build-up breaks down

160 balls lost in 494 build-up phases (32%)

giveaways per 10 build-up phases: 2.9/10 · league 2.4/10

How
  • long ball lost99
  • pass cut out39
  • bad touch14
  • failed dribble3
Where
  • right half-space43
  • right wing38
  • centre32
  • left wing27
Who
  • Emil Audero28
  • Florian Lejeune24
  • Unai López17
  • Andrei Ratiu12

What it costs: 30% turned into a fast attack · 44% the opponent can’t keep · 9% led to a shot · 1.2 xG

Progression breaks down

186 balls lost in 653 middle-third phases (28%)

giveaways per 10 middle-third phases: 2.5/10 · league 2.9/10

How
  • pass cut out93
  • bad touch35
  • long ball lost33
  • tackled / dispossessed13
Where
  • right wing40
  • left half-space39
  • right half-space36
  • left wing36
Who
  • Sergio Camello31
  • Unai López21
  • Jorge de Frutos16
  • Andrei Ratiu15

What it costs: 25% turned into a fast attack · 43% the opponent can’t keep · 4% led to a shot · 0.9 xG

Final third breaks down

212 balls lost in 493 final-third phases (43%)

deliveries into the box that fail to arrive: 69% · league 57%

How
  • pass cut out137
  • bad touch28
  • failed dribble23
  • long ball lost14
Where
  • centre86
  • right half-space36
  • left half-space35
  • right wing30
Who
  • Álvaro García42
  • Andrei Ratiu32
  • Jorge de Frutos22
  • Sergio Camello21

What it costs: 14% turned into a fast attack · 58% the opponent can’t keep · 3% led to a shot · 0.6 xG

73 deliveries into the box did not arrive

Counter-attacks fail

38 of 61 counter-attacks lost (62%)

attacking transitions that produce a shot: 23% · league 17%

How
  • pass cut out24
  • failed dribble7
  • bad touch4
  • long ball lost2
Where
  • centre17
  • right half-space9
  • left wing4
  • right wing4
Who
  • Álvaro García10
  • Sergio Camello5
  • Giorgi Tsitaishvili5
  • Adrià Pedrosa4

What it costs: 21% turned into a fast attack · 53% the opponent can’t keep · 16% led to a shot · 0.6 xG

61 counters: 16 ended in a shot, 38 were lost, 7 slowed down or went out

Their press is beaten

86 of 172 opponent build-ups got out (50%)

opponent build-ups that get out cleanly: 50% · league 50%

How
  • short pass44
  • long ball18
  • carry18
Where
  • right wing23
  • left half-space20
  • centre14
  • left wing13
Who
  • centre-back33
  • goalkeeper15
  • central midfielder13
  • full-back12

What it costs: 44% reached the final third · 14% led to a shot · 1.0 xG

Sides are their own: "down the left" = down their left.

Their block is broken

164 box entries in 507 opponent final-third phases (32%)

opponent final-third phases that create: 53% · league 48%

How
  • carry101
  • short pass26
  • cross14
  • dribble11
Where
  • left half-space48
  • centre45
  • right half-space41
  • left wing17
Who
  • winger42
  • striker35
  • full-back31
  • attacking midfielder19

What it costs: 45% led to a shot · 8.7 xG

Sides are their own.

Set pieces backfire

28 set pieces lost in open play

How
  • pass cut out12
  • long ball lost6
  • tackled / dispossessed4
  • bad touch3
Where
  • right half-space7
  • centre7
  • left half-space6
  • right wing6
Who
  • Álvaro García5
  • Unai López4
  • Sergio Camello4
  • Andrei Ratiu4

What it costs: 18% turned into a fast attack · 54% the opponent can’t keep · 4% led to a shot · 0.1 xG

Their corners and free kicks that were lost in open play, and what the opponent did next.

Set piecesattacking corners

48corners (5.3 per match)
23%end in a shot
0.6xG from corners

Delivery

  • near post42%shot 15% · 0.2 xG
  • central40%shot 26% · 0.3 xG
  • far post12%shot 33% · 0.1 xG
  • short6%shot 33% · 0.0 xG

Who

Takers: Unai López (34), Pedro Díaz (4), Giorgi Tsitaishvili (4)

First contact in the box: Andrei Ratiu (2), Isi Palazón (2), Randy Nteka (2), Álvaro García (2), Florian Lejeune (2)

Key players

What each player does in the phases, counted over the window. Only lines that clear a minimum count are shown.

Unai LópezCM
  • plays 23 build-up exits (78% carry on cleanly)
  • takes it into the final third 39 times (36% become a chance)
Florian LejeuneCB
  • plays 35 build-up exits (66% carry on cleanly)
  • 18 shots, 0.7 npxG, 0 goals
Álvaro GarcíaW
  • gets it into the box 22 times (36% end in a shot)
  • 15 ball wins high up the pitch
Sergio CamelloST
  • gets it into the box 10 times (40% end in a shot)
  • 23 shots, 2.6 npxG, 7 goals
Pedro DíazAM
  • 20 shots, 1.0 npxG, 0 goals
  • 15 ball wins high up the pitch
Andrei RatiuFB
  • gets it into the box 16 times (25% end in a shot)
Giorgi TsitaishviliW
  • gets it into the box 12 times (50% end in a shot)

Where a player changes the outcome (p<0.05)

Against the leaguesupporting evidence

The comparison behind the report: each behaviour as a rate per opportunity, ranked among the 20 La Liga clubs' full seasons, with how many of the 9 matches sat on the same side of the league median. "Style" is never a verdict.

behaviourRayo Vallecanoleague medianrankmatches
stylelong ball flick on per 100 progression phases1.8/1000.8/1001 / 206/9
stylebyline cross per 100 final third phases12.2/1007.2/1001 / 208/9
stylebuild-up exits played by a midfielder (DM/CM)25%15%1 / 206/9
weaknessgiveaways regained within 5s (counter-press)21%26%20 / 208/9
weaknessopponent final-third phases that created53%48%1 / 206/9
styleturnovers won after a long opponent possession6%12%19 / 208/9
weaknessxG per shot from short passes / combinations0.06 xG0.08 xG19 / 206/8
styleone two wall pass per 100 progression phases0.9/1002.0/10020 / 208/9
strengthballs won straight back (counter-press) that produced a shot17%7%2 / 206/9
strengthPPDA, strict (opponent passes in their own 60% per committed ball-winning action)12.315.119 / 208/9
weaknessdeliveries into the box that failed to arrive69%57%1 / 206/9
styleopen-play shots created by cutbacks13%6%2 / 206/9
stylebuild-up exits played by a full-back12%21%19 / 209/9
Their most dangerous routes
phaseroutetimesshottheir average
How they change against different opponents
splitbehaviourabp
against the more aggressive pressers vs the deeper / passive sidesbox entries with a cross0%10%0.0368
when leading vs when levelbuild-ups that carried on into the next third under control33%59%0.0058
when trailing vs when levelmiddle-third phases that progressed into the final third84%60%0.0007
The 9 matches
dateopponentresultnpxGopponent presswhat happened
2026-08-15at SevillaL 1-21.5–0.7pressed aggressivelyLost 1-2 despite the better chances (1.49 v 0.73 xG) -- a finishing / goalkeeping defeat more than a tactical one. Sevilla pressed harder than a typical La Liga side does (strict PPDA 9.5, league median 15.0) and went long on 56% of their own build-ups. Biggest departure from their norm: final-third entries by carrying it in 0%, far below their usual 19%.
2026-08-20vs AlavesD 1-10.5–1.3pressed aggressivelyDrew 1-1 (0.50 v 1.26 xG). Alaves pressed harder than a typical La Liga side does (strict PPDA 11.3, league median 15.0). Biggest departure from their norm: final-third phases that created (box entry or key pass) 34%, far below their usual 45%.
2026-08-31at BarcelonaL 2-51.0–2.3pressed aggressivelyLost 2-5 and the chances agreed (1.04 v 2.26 xG). Barcelona pressed harder than a typical La Liga side does (strict PPDA 10.7, league median 15.0). Biggest departure from their norm: build-up exits down the left 73%, far above their usual 44%.
2026-09-05vs Racing SantanderW 3-21.2–0.6pressed aggressivelyWon 3-2, chances 1.25 v 0.56 xG. Racing Santander pressed harder than a typical La Liga side does (strict PPDA 10.7, league median 15.0).
2026-09-12at Real MadridL 1-41.2–2.0mid-intensity pressLost 1-4 and the chances agreed (1.18 v 2.03 xG). Real Madrid pressed at roughly league-average intensity (strict PPDA 14.2, league median 15.0). Biggest departure from their norm: box entries with a cross 27%, far above their usual 4%.
2026-09-15vs EspanyolW 2-11.5–1.7mid-intensity pressWon 2-1, chances 1.53 v 1.71 xG. Espanyol pressed at roughly league-average intensity (strict PPDA 16.8, league median 15.0). Biggest departure from their norm: PPDA, strict (opponent passes in their own 60% per committed ball-winning action) 17.2, far above their usual 12.4.
2026-09-19at OsasunaD 1-11.3–0.7mid-intensity pressDrew 1-1 (1.25 v 0.75 xG). Osasuna pressed at roughly league-average intensity (strict PPDA 15.9, league median 15.0) and went long on 50% of their own build-ups. Biggest departure from their norm: giveaways regained within 5s (counter-press) 29%, far above their usual 21%.
2026-10-19at GetafeD 1-11.5–0.7sat deep / passiveDrew 1-1 (1.51 v 0.74 xG). Getafe defended deep and let them have the ball (strict PPDA 18.8, league median 15.0) and went long on 67% of their own build-ups. Biggest departure from their norm: build-up exits with a long ball 0%, far below their usual 40%.
2026-10-24vs ElcheL 0-30.7–1.1sat deep / passiveLost 0-3 and the chances agreed (0.75 v 1.13 xG). Elche defended deep and let them have the ball (strict PPDA 24.7, league median 15.0). Biggest departure from their norm: ball given away during build-up 9.0/match, far below their usual 16.0/match.

Method and limits

◀ Tactical Analyst
Vision AI · building report