العربيةSeason2025/262026 · this seasonAll seasons
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Player reportLigue 1 2026

Rafik Messali

Toulouse
Ball-winning 6 (destroyer) DM
19.5 defensive actions/90
Capability Analysis
Breaking Pressure
only 20 pressured-passing actions across 1 high-press match -- not enough sample (needs 5+ matches and 12+ actions)
Progression40%vs 21 full-backs
"Can he move the team forward with a pass, not just recycle it sideways?"
Progressive passes /905.4614%
Line-breaking passes /902.5576%
Threat added by passing /901.14xT29%
Pass accuracy78.74%43%
Ball-Winning82%vs 21 full-backs
"How actively does he win the ball back?"
Interceptions /902.0390%
Ball recoveries /904.9386%
Tackles /902.0371%
Duels won /901.1481%
defensive midball-winning 6press resistancescreening
485
minutes
8 apps
347
passes
82% completed
82%
pass completion
347 passes
25
progressive passes
4.6/90
105
defensive actions
19.5/90
24
tackles + interceptions
62% tackle win
27
recoveries
5.0/90
25
line-breaking passes
4.6/90
Overview

The player

Who he is and how he compares with his peers.

01

What Patterns Define Him?

His repeatable signature. A step only appears if its reliability score (sample size × match coverage) reaches at least Medium confidence — pattern mining, not anecdotes.

RECEIVE
drop between the centre-backs — mostly in the middle third (51% of his 347 passes)
82% completion · 347× in 8/8 matches
↓
ESCAPE PRESSURE
turn out of a tight central area
44% won · 16× in 7/8 matches
↓
PROGRESS CENTRAL
break a line through the middle
4.6 prog/90 · 25× in 8/8 matches
↓
SCREEN / WIN BALL
protect the back four
9.5 ball-wins/90 · 51× in 8/8 matches
↓
RECYCLE / PROGRESS
keep it ticking, feed the final third
3.5 f3-entries/90 · 19× in 6/8 matches
Signature: drop to receive → escape the press on the turn → progress centrally or recycle → screen the counter. Block the central lane and press his first touch to force him backwards.
18

Where is he influential — vs where is he merely present?

Red fill = raw touch territory. Gold rings = zones where his influence (xT added, progression, line-breaks, key passes) outweighs how often he's actually there — one combined map instead of two separate maps to compare by eye. Red with no ring: present but not dangerous. A ring on faint red: rare touches, outsized impact.

own goal left, attacking →
43
passes / match
19.5
def actions / 90
23–83
pass range (matches)
16
clearances
Pass range = his fewest and most passes in any single match this season (23 at the low end, 83 at the high) — a measure of match-to-match involvement, not pass distance.
In possession

In possession

What he does with the ball: build-up, progression, creation, carrying and finishing.

10

How dangerous are his carries?

Real ball-carries

53 tracked carries (9.8/90, 18 progressive, 576m total) — the ball moving with his touches, a different signal from dribbles below (beating an opponent 1v1). even a player who rarely dribbles past a man can still carry the ball forward constantly in build-up; this is that.

4%13%28%21%28%4%2%
progressivelateral/short% of his 53 carries originating in each zone · own goal left, attacking →
Every carry, exact path — median 8m, longest 50m
By zone — where the carry started → where it ended
2Outside → Inside
9Inside → Inside
36Outside → Outside
6Inside → Outside
First (23)Second (13)Third (11)Fourth (6)grouped by carry pattern (start + end position), largest group first
startendown goal left, attacking →

Beaten in the tackle

How often an attacker gets past him in a 1v1 defensive duel — the closest signal the data has to "dribbled past" (no attacker-beat-defender field exists directly, so this counts tackles he attempted and lost).

13
tackle duels
8
won
5
beaten · 38%
brighter band = more tackle duels · own goal left, attacking →
INSIDE 31%
OUTSIDE 69%
Tackle-duel location — 4 inside · 9 outside
Right Wing
9 · 69%
Right Half-Space
3 · 23%
Central
1 · 8%
Left Half-Space
0 · 0%
Left Wing
0 · 0%
Vision AI beaten in 5 of 13 tackle duels (38% loss rate) — a solid 1v1 defensive record.
Every tackle duel, exact location
wonlost — dribbled pastown goal left, attacking →

Dribbles (1v1s)

Can he escape pressure on the ball? His carries/dribbles in tight central areas, by channel. Season rate: 2.97 dribbles attempted /90.

brighter band = more dribbles · own goal left, attacking →
INSIDE 50%
OUTSIDE 50%
Dribble location — 8 inside · 8 outside
Right Wing
8 · 50%
Right Half-Space
7 · 44%
Central
1 · 6%
Left Half-Space
0 · 0%
Left Wing
0 · 0%
Vision AI 50% of his carries are central — he receives and turns in congested midfield zones rather than out wide.
03

How does he build & move the ball?

How does he escape the first line?

7%
vertical passes
11×
1%
switches
2×
15%
carries
25×
77%
short circulation
124×
Answer: he escapes the press primarily through carrying — stepping out with the ball.

How he moves the ball — his 4 busiest progression routes, not where every pass starts and ends separately. Arrow width = how often, colour = xT gained, dashed = switch of play. The full breakdown is in the lane matrix below.

own goal left, attacking →
Lane transition matrix — when he receives in a lane, where does it go?
TO →RWRHSCLHSLWRW23948%11547%1134%100%1RHS3918%764%2518%7C540%240%220%1LHS250%150%1LW0FROM
Rows normalised: each row sums to 100% of that lane's completed passes. Grey number = passes from that lane.

Primary route: the right wing in the final third → the right half-space in the final third — 10 progressive passes (23% of his progression) at 0.127 xT each. He moves it inside.

His progression is inward: 59% of progressive passes move the ball toward the middle versus 5% going wider — he cuts in rather than holding width.

Only 2% of his passes switch play, so his threat is same-side — contain the flank he occupies and the route closes.

Quality behind the volume: 17 line-breaking passes and 19 final-third entries, 5.2 total xT added.

Origin and destination are measured on the same event row — no receiver inference. Receiver identity is not recoverable from this data source.
All passes — origin zone share
Filter: from to
5%18%29%19%18%6%2%1%0%1%1%
completedincomplete347 passes · any zone → any zone · own goal left, attacking →
347
passes
82%
completed
62
lost
Vision AIIn line with his 82% season completion rate.
05

How does he progress play?

How much he drives the ball forward. Progressive = completed pass advancing ≥15 toward goal.

25
progressive · 4.6/90
19
final-third entries · 3.5/90
7
box entries · 1.30/90
28
progression index /90
Progression index: one composite number — progressive passes + progressive carries + 2% of total distance progressed + 8× positive xT added, all per 90. Weights VOLUME and THREAT together rather than counting progressive actions alone.
12

How does he create chances?

4 key passes (0.74/90), 0 of them assists — where his chance creation specifically comes from, 18 zones (6×3), showing his share of key passes originating there.

Chance creation — key pass origin zone share
Filter:
25%25%50%
chance creation (4)assist (0)% of the selected group's key passes originating in each zone
04

Where does he become vulnerable?

71 times he gave the ball away. For a defender the danger is where — a loss in his own third can turn into a chance against; higher up it costs little.

30
attacking third (cheap)
17
middle third
24
own third (dangerous)
Vision AI 42% of losses are in the attacking third — a notable share happen deeper, which invites transitions.
Mistake danger (proxy): 4.82 danger-index/90 · 0.366 avg/turnover. Weights each loss by threat conceded at that location. True xT-conceded needs the opponent possession model; positional proxy.
06

What is his passing profile?

347
passes attempted
35%
mostly forward
56%
mostly short
Direction
Forward
120 · 35%
Sideways
108 · 31%
Backward
119 · 34%
Length (completed)
Short (<15m)
161 · 56%
Medium
115 · 40%
Long (>30m)
9 · 3%
07

Preferred Progression Routes — xT-weighted

His progressive passes as zone→zone routes, weighted by expected threat (xT) added — arrow width and the number are the total xT generated on each route, not just how often he plays it. This is where he actually moves the needle.

0.840.620.530.360.360.36
own goal left, attacking →
Highest-value routes (xT)
0.84
Right Wing Mid third → Right Half-Space Att third
3 passes · 1 to a shot
0.62
Right Wing Att third → Right Half-Space Att third
2 passes
0.53
Right Wing Mid third → Right Wing Att third
4 passes
0.36
Right Wing Att third → Right Wing Att third
3 passes
0.36
Right Wing Mid third → Right Wing Mid third
5 passes
0.36
Right Wing Mid third → Central Att third
1 passes
08

Where Does He Receive?

The zones where Rafik Messali gets on the ball — his top three ball-collection areas highlighted (gold = primary). Reception is proxied by where his on-ball actions begin (no explicit receiver is recorded).

123
1 = primary, 2 = secondary, 3 = third · own goal left, attacking →
His collection zones
42%
Primary
Right Wing, Middle third
19%
Secondary
Right Wing, Attacking third
18%
Third
Right Wing, Defensive third
These are the zones where he collected the ball most.
09

Where Does He Operate? — Every Zone

Every on-ball touch (pass, dribble, shot) binned into a 6×3 grid — raw counts of where Rafik Messali actually gets on the ball. Hover any zone for its breakdown by action type, its share of all touches, and the exact coordinate range it covers.

Filter:
2631221963103696826
own goal left, attacking → · brighter + higher number = more touches

Passes only — completed vs incomplete, by zone

Same zone grid, restricted to passes so completed/incomplete and match filters actually mean something — a shot or a dribble has no "completed" in the pass sense.

5%18%29%19%18%6%2%1%0%1%1%
own goal left, attacking →
11

Every Pass This Season — completed vs incomplete

Every pass this season, plotted individually — green = completed, grey (dashed) = incomplete, gold = key pass. Filter by outcome or isolate one match below.

4Key pass
9Cross
3Cutback
25Progressive
25Long ball
4Switch
By zone — where the pass started → where it landed
124Outside → Inside
37Inside → Inside
115Outside → Outside
9Inside → Outside
By direction
120Forward
119Backward
108Sideways
own goal left, attacking →
02

Tactical patterns — how his football actually looks

Three clustered sequence diagrams from his own event data — his three busiest routes: the way he progresses, the pattern behind his chances, and where a turnover turns dangerous.

own goal left, attacking →
How does he progress the ball forward?
His most common route for progressing play: he plays inside from the right wing toward the right hs, advancing it forward in the middle third — 3 passes worth 0.84 xT.
Where do his chances come from?
Of 4 key passes, his busiest route is a delivery where he plays inside from the right hs toward the central in the final third — 2 times. The receiver isn't identifiable in this data, only where the pass started and ended.
Where does he lose the ball most?
This is a RATE, not a raw count — the share of his touches in each zone that end in a turnover, so a zone he simply plays in more often doesn't automatically look riskier. His weakest zone is the right half-space in the final third: 50% of his 22 touches there are lost (11 times).
27%18/66 lost15%2/13 lost—5 touches · too few—0 touches · too few—0 touches · too few7%10/150 lost19%4/21 lost—3 touches · too few—2 touches · too few—0 touches · too few22%14/65 lost50%11/22 lost—0 touches · too few—0 touches · too few—0 touches · too fewRWRHSCLHSLWDEFMIDATT
13

Crosses & Cutbacks

9 crosses (1.67/90, 6 completed) and 3 cutbacks (0.56/90, 0 completed) — two separate wide-delivery patterns into the box, each its own map with a completed/failed filter. Neither is a tagged event, so both are inferred from pass geometry — the intended end point of a failed attempt is still real data (an interception doesn’t erase where the ball was aimed): a cross is a pass aimed into the box starting from a wide channel; a cutback starts almost on the byline but is squared back rather than driven forward, aimed centrally around the box. The completed-cross count was checked against this platform’s own real match-level cross totals and lands within about 1 cross of the true count.

Crosses — close-up on the final third
Cutbacks — close-up on the final third
completedfailed (dashed)close-up on the box — attacking ↑ toward goal
Out of possession

Out of possession

Where and how he defends and presses.

14

How & where does he defend?

105 defensive actions across the season (19.5/90). Where he wins the ball, and how — the core question for a defender. Aerial duels are not recorded for this competition, so aerial dominance is not measured here.

click a card to isolate that action type · own goal left, attacking →
13
tackles · 62% won
11
interceptions · 2.0/90
27
recoveries · 5.0/90
16
clearances · 3.0/90
3
blocks
32
avg action height
12
won high (att 3rd)
28
middle third
65
own third
Vision AI A deep-defending defender. He wins the ball mainly by stepping in — tackles, interceptions & recoveries outweigh clearances. 51 proactive ball-wins (9.5/90), tackle success 62%. He defends mostly around the middle third.
15

Can he play under pressure?

Split by how hard the opponent pressed (opponent PPDA — lower = more intense press). Can Rafik Messali still play out when the opponent presses high? His build-up quality split by press intensity — the key question for a ball-playing defender. Tiers of ~2-4 matches — directional evidence, not proof.

press tier
completion
prog /90
line-breaks /90
xT /90
High press (PPDA 4.1, 2m)
76%
3.7
6.0
1.46
Mid press (PPDA 5.5, 2m)
79%
7.1
4.5
1.28
Low press (PPDA 6.7, 4m)
85%
4.1
4.1
1.72
Team

Team context

How much of the team runs through him, and what changes without him.

16

Impact on the Team

Insufficient sample: Rafik Messali played nearly every Toulouse match in the loaded data, so there is no meaningful "without him" comparison yet. This section fills in as more matches (and the rest of the season) are scraped.

17

His Share of the Team

Of everything Toulouse produced this season, the categories where the biggest share ran through Rafik Messali specifically — his share of the team total, not a per-90 rate.

category
share
him / team
interceptions
9%
23 / 250
half-space entries
6%
42 / 724
clearances
6%
37 / 667
Recruitment

Style and verdict

Style profile, closest comparables, and the summary.

19

Playing-Style Profile

Not raw event counts — football style scores: weighted models scored 0–100 against the 258 defensive mids in the pool (min 450 min). This is what separates players who post similar numbers but play differently. Proxy dimensions are inferred from on-ball data; true off-ball running / under-pressure context is not measured.

Ball-winning 652%Deep-lying playmaker45%Tempo controller34%
Why Ball-winning 6 52%: a weighted blend of ball-winning 61 (weight 40%) + defensive aggression 41 (weight 30%) + progression 81 (weight 15%) + retention 21 (weight 15%). The score reflects how distinctively his profile SHAPE matches this archetype vs his peers.
Elite
through-balls, line-breaking, territory (wide vs central)
Strong
progression, crossing
Average
dribbling, final-third threat, carrying, ball-winning, receiving zones, transition, creativity, defensive aggression, press resistance
Weak
build-up, box threat, retention, passing directness
Unknown
aerial ability, marking, off-ball running — not in event data
Through-balls ~proxy
96
Line-breaking
94
Territory (wide vs central)
88
Progression
81
Crossing
75
Dribbling
69
Final-third threat
66
Carrying
65
Ball-winning
61
Receiving zones
49
Transition ~proxy
46
Creativity
46
Defensive aggression
41
Press resistance ~proxy
40
Build-up
39
Box threat
22
Retention
21
Passing directness
16
20

Similar Players — in style space

Closest comparables measured on the style scores above, within the same position family — so it separates how players are alike, not just how much they touch the ball. Each line explains the shared strength and the divergent mechanism. A light physical-profile term (height / weight; this player: 177 cm / 74 kg) is included at a quarter of one style axis's weight — enough to break ties between stylistic twins, not to override style. Scope: pooled across the Ligue 1, Bundesliga, La Liga, Premier League and Serie A, percentiled within each player's own league before comparing — a match from another league is marked with its league name.

Style, not quality: a high match here means two players tend to produce the ball in similar ways — it is not a ranking, a scouting recommendation, or a claim that they are equally good.

Hugo Bueno Wolves · Premier League 25/26 · 180 cm / 73 kg
86%
Driven by: through-balls (14%), territory (wide vs central) (13%), passing directness (12%). Different mechanism — Messali more via line-breaking, receiving zones; Bueno more via carrying.
Niels Nkounkou Nice · 184 cm / 75 kg
84%
Driven by: through-balls (16%), line-breaking (14%), retention (13%). Different mechanism — Messali more via build-up; Nkounkou more via passing directness, box threat.
Valentino Lazaro Torino · Serie A 25/26 · 180 cm / 75 kg
82%
Driven by: line-breaking (13%), through-balls (12%), territory (wide vs central) (12%). Different mechanism — Messali more via ball-winning, defensive aggression.
Lewis Cook Bournemouth · Premier League · 175 cm / 71 kg
79%
Driven by: box threat (16%), through-balls (13%), line-breaking (12%). Different mechanism — Messali more via through-balls, crossing; Cook more via retention, press resistance.
Arthur Werder Bremen · Bundesliga · 173 cm / 70 kg
79%
Driven by: through-balls (15%), passing directness (14%), line-breaking (14%). Different mechanism — Messali more via defensive aggression; Arthur more via box threat, receiving zones.
Jordan Zemura Udinese · Serie A 25/26 · 173 cm / 63 kg
77%
Driven by: through-balls (15%), retention (14%), crossing (12%). Different mechanism — Messali more via build-up, ball-winning; Zemura more via passing directness.
21

Summary

Rafik Messali is a ball-winning 6: 82% completion, 25 line-breaks and 4.6 progressive passes /90, resisting pressure with 44% dribble success. A central controller. [Off-ball screening position and scanning need tracking data.]

Based on 8 matches (485 minutes) — an early read, treat with caution until more minutes are logged. He profiles as a ball-winning 6 — best used in a system built around that identity. His biggest room for growth is retention — even a modest improvement there would meaningfully lift his overall ball-winning 6 profile.
✨ This report is interactive

Click any stat card to filter its map, hover a dot for the exact match, and use the dropdowns to slice passes zone-to-zone. Nothing here is static.

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