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Player reportBundesliga 2025/26

Conrad Harder

Strasbourg
Complete forward ST
3.5 shots/90 with 1.18 key passes/90
strikerfalse 9box threatfinishing
1370
minutes
36 apps
4
goals
4.96 xG
5.0
xG
53 shots
53
shots
0.09 xG/shot
6
box entries
0.39/90
18
key passes
1.18/90
29
dribbles
21% won
67%
pass completion
268 passes
Overview

The player

Who he is and how he compares with his peers.

01

What Patterns Define Him?

His repeatable signature. A step only appears if its reliability score (sample size × match coverage) reaches at least Medium confidence — pattern mining, not anecdotes.

LINK
lay-off and combine
18 key passes · 67% completion · 268× in 34/34 matches
↓
FINISH
shoot from central zones
4.96 xG · 53× in 24/34 matches
↓
CONVERT
goals vs expected
4 goals (-1.0 vs xG) · 4× in 24/34 matches
Signature: Link → Finish → Convert — the only steps proven repeatable this season (3 of 4 in the full pattern). Not enough evidence yet for the rest of the chain below.
Not a pattern: receive / move — 6× (low confidence, shown as a number only, no tactical conclusion drawn) — omitted from the signature rather than presented as one.
19

Where is he influential — vs where is he merely present?

Red fill = raw touch territory. Gold rings = zones where his influence (xT added, progression, line-breaks, key passes) outweighs how often he's actually there — one combined map instead of two separate maps to compare by eye. Red with no ring: present but not dangerous. A ring on faint red: rare touches, outsized impact.

own goal left, attacking →
8
passes / match
1.4
dribbles / match
1–21
pass range (matches)
1–3
dribble range (matches)
Pass range = his fewest and most passes in any single match this season (1 at the low end, 21 at the high) — a measure of match-to-match involvement, not pass distance. Dribble range works the same way, for dribbles/carries per match.
In possession

In possession

What he does with the ball: build-up, progression, creation, carrying and finishing.

10

How dangerous are his carries?

Real ball-carries

73 tracked carries (4.8/90, 26 progressive, 872m total) — the ball moving with his touches, a different signal from dribbles below (beating an opponent 1v1). this counts every touch-carry, not just his dribble attempts below — a fuller picture of how much of his ball-carrying is control-and-move rather than beating a man.

3%8%4%12%3%1%7%3%10%1%3%14%19%12%
progressivelateral/short% of his 73 carries originating in each zone · own goal left, attacking →
Every carry, exact path — median 8m, longest 48m
By zone — where the carry started → where it ended
8Outside → Inside
35Inside → Inside
23Outside → Outside
7Inside → Outside
First (23)Second (21)Third (16)Fourth (13)grouped by carry pattern (start + end position), largest group first
startendown goal left, attacking →

Dribbles (1v1s)

Does he drop to link or stay central? Touches by channel. Season rate: 1.91 dribbles attempted /90.

brighter band = more dribbles · own goal left, attacking →
INSIDE 55%
OUTSIDE 45%
Dribble location — 16 inside · 13 outside
Right Wing
4 · 14%
Right Half-Space
4 · 14%
Central
1 · 3%
Left Half-Space
11 · 38%
Left Wing
9 · 31%
Vision AI His touches are central and high — a penalty-box striker.
14

How does he build & move the ball?

How he moves the ball — his 4 busiest progression routes, not where every pass starts and ends separately. Arrow width = how often, colour = xT gained, dashed = switch of play. The full breakdown is in the lane matrix below.

own goal left, attacking →
Lane transition matrix — when he receives in a lane, where does it go?
TO →RWRHSCLHSLWRW1362%838%5RHS2941%1231%914%414%4C593%212%761%3622%132%1LHS432%12%121%937%1637%16LW3531%1169%24FROM
Rows normalised: each row sums to 100% of that lane's completed passes. Grey number = passes from that lane.

Primary route: the left half-space in the final third → central areas in the final third — 5 progressive passes (31% of his progression) at -0.016 xT each. He moves it inside.

His progression is inward: 81% of progressive passes move the ball toward the middle versus 0% going wider — he cuts in rather than holding width.

Only 4% of his passes switch play, so his threat is same-side — contain the flank he occupies and the route closes.

Quality behind the volume: 9 line-breaking passes and 8 final-third entries, -2.1 total xT added.

Origin and destination are measured on the same event row — no receiver inference. Receiver identity is not recoverable from this data source.
All passes — origin zone share
Filter: from to
0%3%7%9%4%2%1%9%8%12%3%1%3%4%14%9%10%
completedincomplete268 passes · any zone → any zone · own goal left, attacking →
268
passes
67%
completed
89
lost
Vision AIIn line with his 67% season completion rate.
07

How does he create chances?

18 key passes (1.18/90), 0 of them assists — where his chance creation specifically comes from, 18 zones (6×3), showing his share of key passes originating there.

Chance creation — key pass origin zone share
Filter:
6%6%33%22%11%17%6%
chance creation (18)assist (0)% of the selected group's key passes originating in each zone
Box deliveries — key passes reaching the final third, by flank
from the left (11)from the right (7)of 18 key passes landing in the final thirdattacking ↑ toward goal
02

Can he finish?

53 shots · 4.96 xG · 4 goals (-0.96 vs xG). Mostly left-footed. Circle size = xG.

shots  53
on target  33
goals  4
xG  4.96
xG on target  4.29
xG / shot  0.093
Where he shoots from — click an area of the box
06

Where does he become vulnerable?

112 possessions lost. Directness has a cost — the question is where. Attacking-third losses are cheap; deep ones are dangerous.

61
attacking third (cheap)
47
middle third
4
own third (dangerous)
Vision AI 54% of losses are in the attacking third — he gambles where a turnover costs little.
Mistake danger (proxy): 1.53 danger-index/90 · 0.209 avg/turnover. Weights each loss by threat conceded at that location. True xT-conceded needs the opponent possession model; positional proxy.
11

What is his passing profile?

268
passes attempted
50%
mostly sideways
73%
mostly short
Direction
Forward
57 · 21%
Sideways
133 · 50%
Backward
78 · 29%
Length (completed)
Short (<15m)
130 · 73%
Medium
43 · 24%
Long (>30m)
6 · 3%
08

Where Does He Receive?

The zones where Conrad Harder gets on the ball — his top three ball-collection areas highlighted (gold = primary). Reception is proxied by where his on-ball actions begin (no explicit receiver is recorded).

123
1 = primary, 2 = secondary, 3 = third · own goal left, attacking →
His collection zones
14%
Primary
Left Half-Space, Attacking third
14%
Secondary
Central, Middle third
11%
Third
Left Half-Space, Middle third
These are the zones where he collected the ball most.
09

Where Does He Operate? — Every Zone

Every on-ball touch (pass, dribble, shot) binned into a 6×3 grid — raw counts of where Conrad Harder actually gets on the ball. Hover any zone for its breakdown by action type, its share of all touches, and the exact coordinate range it covers.

Filter:
29144236382242146331921251611
own goal left, attacking → · brighter + higher number = more touches

Passes only — completed vs incomplete, by zone

Same zone grid, restricted to passes so completed/incomplete and match filters actually mean something — a shot or a dribble has no "completed" in the pass sense.

0%3%7%9%4%2%1%9%8%12%3%1%3%4%14%9%10%
own goal left, attacking →
13

Every Pass This Season — completed vs incomplete

Every pass this season, plotted individually — green = completed, grey (dashed) = incomplete, gold = key pass. Filter by outcome or isolate one match below.

18Key pass
4Cross
11Cutback
5Progressive
10Long ball
4Switch
By zone — where the pass started → where it landed
16Outside → Inside
99Inside → Inside
32Outside → Outside
32Inside → Outside
By direction
57Forward
78Backward
133Sideways
own goal left, attacking →
03

Tactical patterns — how his football actually looks

Three clustered sequence diagrams from his own event data — his three busiest routes: the way he progresses, the pattern behind his chances, and where a turnover turns dangerous.

own goal left, attacking →
Where do his chances come from?
Of 18 key passes, his busiest route is a delivery where he plays straight through the central in the final third — 4 times. The receiver isn't identifiable in this data, only where the pass started and ended.
Where does he lose the ball most?
This is a RATE, not a raw count — the share of his touches in each zone that end in a turnover, so a zone he simply plays in more often doesn't automatically look riskier. His weakest zone is the right wing in the final third: 89% of his 9 touches there are lost (8 times).
—5 touches · too few—5 touches · too few—1 touch · too few—5 touches · too few—6 touches · too few44%7/16 lost32%9/28 lost15%6/41 lost42%13/31 lost25%5/20 lost89%8/9 lost50%6/12 lost15%4/27 lost38%13/34 lost50%14/28 lostRWRHSCLHSLWDEFMIDATT
05

Does he carry inside or outside — his ball-carries across the pitch

Four arrows, one per movement class of his ball-carries: outside→inside (cutting in with the ball), inside→outside (carrying wide), outside→outside (down the touchline) and inside→inside (through the middle). Each count is measured from the carry's real start and end coordinates.

own goal left, attacking →
Across 73 ball-carries, his dominant tendency is that he carries through central areas (48%). He carries from outside into the middle 8 times and out toward the touchline 7 — balanced between cutting in and holding width.
04

What happens right after he carries the ball

Every carry's end point matched against his own very next pass or shot in the same match, when one starts almost exactly there — the direct continuation of that touch, not a separate stat. “No clean link” means no pass or shot of his own started close enough to count (often the carry ended in a tackle or a loss); it isn't a claim about exactly what happened, only that nothing traceable followed.

Shot
9 · 12%
Progressive / key pass
8 · 11%
Simple pass
24 · 33%
No clean link
32 · 44%
Of 73 carries, 12% flow straight into a shot of his own, 11% into a key or progressive pass — a genuine end product to the carry, not just ball retention. 44% have no clean link to a next touch of his own close to where the carry ended.
12

Crosses & Cutbacks

4 crosses (0.26/90, 0 completed) and 11 cutbacks (0.72/90, 4 completed) — two separate wide-delivery patterns into the box, each its own map with a completed/failed filter. Neither is a tagged event, so both are inferred from pass geometry — the intended end point of a failed attempt is still real data (an interception doesn’t erase where the ball was aimed): a cross is a pass aimed into the box starting from a wide channel; a cutback starts almost on the byline but is squared back rather than driven forward, aimed centrally around the box. The completed-cross count was checked against this platform’s own real match-level cross totals and lands within about 1 cross of the true count.

Crosses — close-up on the final third
Cutbacks — close-up on the final third
completedfailed (dashed)close-up on the box — attacking ↑ toward goal
Out of possession

Out of possession

Where and how he defends and presses.

16

How & where does he defend?

147 defensive actions across the season (9.7/90). Where he wins the ball, and how — the core question for a defender. Aerial duels are not recorded for this competition, so aerial dominance is not measured here.

click a card to isolate that action type · own goal left, attacking →
14
tackles · 64% won
8
interceptions · 0.5/90
25
recoveries · 1.6/90
10
clearances · 0.7/90
8
blocks
54
avg action height
50
won high (att 3rd)
64
middle third
33
own third
Vision AI A front-foot / high defender. He wins the ball mainly by stepping in — tackles, interceptions & recoveries outweigh clearances. 47 proactive ball-wins (3.1/90), tackle success 64%. He defends high, stepping out to intercept — suits a high line.

Defensive work in the attacking half

Ball-wins in the attacking half only (own half vs. attacking half, a simple 2-way split, not the usual thirds) — the clearest single signal of how much he presses and recovers the ball high up the pitch.

90
attacking-half actions · 5.91/90
15

Against Different Pressing Intensities

Split by how hard the opponent pressed (opponent PPDA — lower = more intense press). Does Conrad Harder keep producing when the game is tight and the press is high? Tiers of ~12-12 matches — directional evidence, not proof.

press tier
xT /90
prog /90
key P /90
dribble%
High press (PPDA 4.5, 12m)
0.15
0.5
0.98
30%
Mid press (PPDA 6.3, 12m)
0.21
0.2
0.63
14%
Low press (PPDA 9.3, 12m)
0.25
0.3
1.73
17%
Team

Team context

How much of the team runs through him, and what changes without him.

17

Impact on the Team

Strasbourg's output per match with Conrad Harder (1 matches) versus without him (6 matches). Insufficient evidence — the without-sample is only 6 matches; treat every Δ below as noise until more games exist. A proper on-off model needs many more minutes.

WITH (1)
WITHOUT (6)
Δ
goals for /match
3.00
2.83
+0.17
xG for /match
3.68
1.85
+1.83
goals against /match
0.00
1.83
-1.83
points /match
3.00
1.50
+1.50
18

His Share of the Team

Of everything Strasbourg produced this season, the categories where the biggest share ran through Conrad Harder specifically — his share of the team total, not a per-90 rate.

category
share
him / team
shots
6%
53 / 911
goals
5%
4 / 84
expected goals (xG)
5%
5.0 / 105.0
Recruitment

Style and verdict

Style profile, closest comparables, and the summary.

20

Playing-Style Profile

Not raw event counts — football style scores: weighted models scored 0–100 against the 299 strikers in the pool (min 450 min). This is what separates players who post similar numbers but play differently. Proxy dimensions are inferred from on-ball data; true off-ball running / under-pressure context is not measured.

False 956%Pressing forward44%Poacher42%Transition runner42%
Why False 9 56%: a weighted blend of creativity 61 (weight 30%) + box threat 59 (weight 25%) + progression 56 (weight 20%) + build-up 44 (weight 25%). The score reflects how distinctively his profile SHAPE matches this archetype vs his peers.
Elite
—
Strong
—
Average
territory (wide vs central), carrying, line-breaking, creativity, ball-winning, box threat, receiving zones, progression, build-up, defensive aggression, transition
Weak
retention, final-third threat, press resistance, passing directness, dribbling, through-balls, crossing
Unknown
aerial ability, marking, off-ball running — not in event data
Territory (wide vs central)
67
Carrying
66
Line-breaking
64
Creativity
61
Ball-winning
60
Box threat
59
Receiving zones
57
Progression
56
Build-up
44
Defensive aggression
44
Transition ~proxy
40
Retention
28
Final-third threat
27
Press resistance ~proxy
27
Passing directness
24
Dribbling
21
Through-balls ~proxy
21
Crossing
11
21

Similar Players — in style space

Closest comparables measured on the style scores above, within the same position family — so it separates how players are alike, not just how much they touch the ball. Each line explains the shared strength and the divergent mechanism. A light physical-profile term (height / weight; this player: 185 cm / 71 kg) is included at a quarter of one style axis's weight — enough to break ties between stylistic twins, not to override style. Scope: pooled across the Bundesliga, La Liga, Ligue 1, Premier League and Serie A, percentiled within each player's own league before comparing — a match from another league is marked with its league name.

Style, not quality: a high match here means two players tend to produce the ball in similar ways — it is not a ranking, a scouting recommendation, or a claim that they are equally good.

Robinio Vaz Hull City · Serie A · 185 cm / 75 kg
79%
Driven by: crossing (19%), press resistance (17%), dribbling (17%). Different mechanism — Harder more via carrying, build-up; Vaz more via through-balls.
Kieron Bowie Sassuolo · Serie A · 190 cm / 83 kg
71%
Driven by: press resistance (22%), dribbling (20%), crossing (17%). Different mechanism — Harder more via carrying; Bowie more via crossing, passing directness.
Willem Geubbels Lecce · Serie A · 185 cm / 81 kg
67%
Driven by: press resistance (20%), crossing (20%), dribbling (19%). Different mechanism — Harder more via line-breaking, creativity.
Karl Etta Eyong Levante · La Liga · 181 cm / 75 kg
66%
Driven by: crossing (23%), press resistance (14%), through-balls (13%). Different mechanism — Harder more via territory (wide vs central), line-breaking; Eyong more via dribbling.
Dzenan Pejcinovic Stuttgart · 188 cm / 78 kg
58%
Driven by: crossing (23%), dribbling (18%), press resistance (16%). Different mechanism — Harder more via carrying, ball-winning; Pejcinovic more via build-up, final-third threat.
Portu Girona · La Liga 25/26 · 167 cm / 66 kg
53%
Driven by: press resistance (22%), dribbling (19%), through-balls (12%). Different mechanism — Harder more via carrying, line-breaking; Portu more via crossing, territory (wide vs central).
22

Summary

Conrad Harder is a false 9: 4 goals from 4.96 xG (-0.96 vs expected), 53 shots, 6 box entries. Under-performing his chances. [Off-ball runs, aerials and hold-up under contact need tracking/aerial data.]

Based on 36 matches (1370 minutes) — a reasonable read, still building toward a full-season sample. He profiles as a false 9 — best used in a system built around that identity. His biggest room for growth is build-up — even a modest improvement there would meaningfully lift his overall false 9 profile.
✨ This report is interactive

Click any stat card to filter its map, hover a dot for the exact match, and use the dropdowns to slice passes zone-to-zone. Nothing here is static.

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